MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) Fair Value 2026

HOLO · Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (26/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) trades at $1.45, approximately 57% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $3.34. QOC: 5.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 26/100 (LOW). 6/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
HOLO
Price
$1.45
Quality Score
5.3/10
Value Trap Risk
26/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +400.2% upside with 14% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (6/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.45)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
 $3.34 +130.4%
Earnings Power Value
Low Conviction
 $7.25 +400.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $6.50 +348.0%

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What Is MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for MicroCloud Hologram Inc.. Trading at $1.45 against an estimated intrinsic value of $5.10, 6 of 6 active models flag meaningful upside of +251.9% on average. The most optimistic model, Dynamic NAV, places fair value at $8.65 (+496.7%), while PWERM — the most conservative — estimates $1.74 (+19.7%). This +476.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about MicroCloud Hologram Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About HOLO?

6 of 13 models are currently active for HOLO. All 6 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates HOLO's intrinsic value at $3.34, implying +130.4% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HOLO Rank in Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.?

Among 75 Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. stocks, HOLO ranks #53 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.3 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. Stocks →

MicroCloud Hologram Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is HOLO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HOLO a score of 26/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for MicroCloud Hologram Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, MicroCloud Hologram Inc. scores 5.3 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +476.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HOLO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HOLO's 6 active models, average confidence is 25%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy MicroCloud Hologram Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. stocks with 13-model coverage

GOOGAlphabet Inc.QOC 10.0GOOGLAlphabet Inc.QOC 10.0TTDThe Trade Desk, Inc.QOC 10.0BZKANZHUN LIMITED - American DepoQOC 10.0BIDUBaidu, Inc.QOC 9.8FDSFactSet Research Systems Inc.QOC 9.8HSTMHealthStream, Inc.QOC 9.6EVEREverQuote, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: GOOG · GOOGL · TTD · BZ · BIDU

See all Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About MicroCloud Hologram Inc.

What is MicroCloud Hologram Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $3.34. The Quality of Company score is 5.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HOLO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.45, 6 of 6 active models suggest HOLO may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits MicroCloud Hologram Inc.'s business model in Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc..

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.3 mean for HOLO?

MicroCloud Hologram Inc.'s QOC of 5.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HOLO?

CirclFi analyzes HOLO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is HOLO a value trap in 2026?

MicroCloud Hologram Inc.'s Value Trap score is 26/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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