What Is Penumbra, Inc. (PEN) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Penumbra, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $79.93, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $318.94. With 12 out of 13 models flagging downside (-74.9% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $309.73 (-2.9%), versus EPV at $16.55 (-94.8%). This +91.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Markov DDM lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About PEN?
13 of 13 models are currently active for PEN. All 13 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates PEN's intrinsic value at $43.87, implying -86.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does PEN Rank in Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus?
Among 111 Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus stocks, PEN ranks #10 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.0 places PEN in the top tier.
See all Most Undervalued Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus Stocks →
Penumbra, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is PEN a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PEN a score of 13/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Penumbra, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Penumbra, Inc. is rated at 9.0/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +91.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every PEN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across PEN's 13 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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