Rapid Micro Biosystems, Inc. (RPID) Fair Value 2026

RPID · Laboratory Analytical Instruments ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (36/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Rapid Micro Biosystems, Inc. (RPID) trades at $2.21, approximately 451% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.40. QOC: 6.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 36/100 (LOW). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
RPID
Price
$2.21
Quality Score
6.2/10
Value Trap Risk
36/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: 9 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Rapid Micro Biosystems, Inc. (RPID) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Rapid Micro Biosystems, Inc. (RPID) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $0.76, 65.6% below the current price of $2.21. Estimates range from $0.40 to $1.92. RPID scores 6.2/10 on fundamental quality and 36/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Rapid Micro Biosystems, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.21)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
 $0.40 -81.9%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $0.76 -65.6%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
 $0.63 -71.6%
ML-RIV
Medium Conviction
 $0.92 -58.5%

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What Is Rapid Micro Biosystems, Inc. (RPID) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Rapid Micro Biosystems, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $0.92, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $2.21. With 9 out of 9 models flagging downside (-58.2% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, FTNN, places fair value at $1.92 (-12.9%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $0.40 (-81.9%). This +69.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Rapid Micro Biosystems, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About RPID?

9 of 13 models are currently active for RPID. All 9 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates RPID's intrinsic value at $0.40, implying -81.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does RPID Rank in Laboratory Analytical Instruments?

Among 19 Laboratory Analytical Instruments stocks, RPID ranks #11 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.2 indicates above-average quality.

Rapid Micro Biosystems, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is RPID a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RPID a score of 36/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Rapid Micro Biosystems, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Rapid Micro Biosystems, Inc. is rated at 6.2/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +69.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every RPID valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across RPID's 9 active models, average confidence is 26%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Rapid Micro Biosystems, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Laboratory Analytical Instruments Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Laboratory Analytical Instruments stocks with 13-model coverage

MTDMettler-Toledo International, IQOC 9.2BRKRBruker CorporationQOC 8.5TXG10x Genomics, Inc.QOC 8.2BIOBio-Rad Laboratories, Inc.QOC 8.1QTRXQuanterix CorporationQOC 7.7RVTYRevvity, Inc.QOC 7.4CTKBCytek Biosciences, Inc.QOC 7.1PRPOPrecipio, Inc.QOC 7.0

Read investment analysis: MTD · BRKR · TXG · BIO · QTRX

Frequently Asked Questions About Rapid Micro Biosystems, Inc.

What is Rapid Micro Biosystems, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Rapid Micro Biosystems, Inc. (RPID) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.40. The Quality of Company score is 6.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is RPID overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.21, 0 of 9 active models suggest RPID may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $0.76, 65.6% below the current price of $2.21 — a consensus view that RPID is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Rapid Micro Biosystems, Inc.'s business model in Laboratory Analytical Instruments.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.2 mean for RPID?

Rapid Micro Biosystems, Inc.'s QOC of 6.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on RPID?

CirclFi analyzes RPID with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is RPID a value trap in 2026?

Rapid Micro Biosystems, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 36/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Rapid Micro Biosystems, Inc. (RPID) has a median fair value of $0.76 — 65.6% below the current price of $2.21 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/RPID/ · Methodology

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