What Is Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Elbit Systems Ltd.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median $468.53, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $708.68. While the median implied return is -33.9%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +76.6% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $740.09 (+4.4%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $196.98 (-72.2%). This +76.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Elbit Systems Ltd.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About ESLT?
2 of 13 models are currently active for ESLT. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ESLT is $468.53 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ESLT Rank in Aerospace & Defense?
Among 94 Aerospace & Defense stocks, ESLT ranks #92 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.8 signals below-average fundamentals.
See all Most Undervalued Aerospace & Defense Stocks →
The Aerospace & Defense sector introduces analytical considerations specific to aerospace and defense businesses. For Elbit Systems Ltd., metrics like program execution margin provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is ESLT a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ESLT a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
2 of 13 models are active for Elbit Systems Ltd.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Elbit Systems Ltd. scores 2.8 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a weak rating that exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +76.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ESLT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ESLT's 2 active models, average confidence is 29%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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