What Is Novartis AG (NVS) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Novartis AG at its current price of $150.78. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $117.21 (-22.3% average return), with 9 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +47.8% (fair value: $222.81), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -93.3% ($10.09). The spread between these extremes — +141.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About NVS?
13 of 13 models are currently active for NVS. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates NVS's intrinsic value at $54.50, implying -63.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does NVS Rank in Pharmaceutical Preparations?
Among 431 Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks, NVS ranks #392 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.6 signals below-average fundamentals.
See all Most Undervalued Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks →
Within the Pharmaceutical Preparations space, Novartis AG competes in an environment where revenue per drug often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is NVS a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for NVS. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Novartis AG. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Novartis AG's fundamental quality profile registers 2.6/10. This concerning score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +141.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every NVS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across NVS's 13 active models, average confidence is 26%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad