Elemental Royalty Corporation (ELE) Fair Value 2026

ELE · Other Precious Metals & Mining ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Elemental Royalty Corporation (ELE) trades at $21.52, versus a $5.65 median fair value across its 11 active models — 73.7% below the current price. QOC: 7.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $14.26.

Key Facts

Ticker
ELE
Price
$21.52
Quality Score
7.6/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: 11 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Elemental Royalty Corporation (ELE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Elemental Royalty Corporation (ELE) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $5.65, 73.7% below the current price of $21.52. Estimates range from $1.41 to $14.26. ELE scores 7.6/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. ELE’s -73.7% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Elemental Royalty Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ELE?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($21.52)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $14.26 -33.7%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $5.72 -73.4%
Scenario · Medium Conviction
 $4.04 -81.2%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $1.41 -93.5%
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What Is ELE's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $1.41 to $14.26

CirclFi's 11 active models place Elemental Royalty Corporation (ELE) between $1.41 and $14.26 per share, a spread of 227% of the median. The median of that range — $5.65 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ELE, against a current price of $21.52.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · Bayesian DCF
$1.41median $5.65$14.26
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$1.41
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$14.26
Model agreement0 bullish · 11 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ELE. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ELE, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Elemental Royalty Corporation (ELE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Elemental Royalty Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $5.65. Trading at its current price of $21.52, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 11 of 11 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -73.7%. Notably, Bayesian DCF sees the most upside at -33.7% (fair value: $14.26), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -93.5% ($1.41). The spread between these extremes — +59.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About ELE?

11 of 13 models are currently active for ELE. All 11 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for ELE is $5.65 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $14.26 on its own, implying -33.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ELE Rank in Other Precious Metals & Mining?

Among 26 Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, ELE ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.6 indicates above-average quality.

Elemental Royalty Corporation's positioning within the Other Precious Metals & Mining segment means that working capital efficiency plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including reshoring and supply chain localization — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is ELE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ELE a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Elemental Royalty Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Elemental Royalty Corporation scores 7.6 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +59.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ELE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ELE's 11 active models, average confidence is 34%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Elemental Royalty Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Other Precious Metals & Mining Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks with 13-model coverage

DYNRDynaResource, Inc.QOC 7.8MUXMcEwen Inc.QOC 7.2VOXRVox Royalty Corp.QOC 8.0LODEComstock Inc.QOC 6.1TFPMTriple Flag Precious Metals Corp.QOC 8.1SBSWSibanye Stillwater LimitedQOC 5.7NMEXNorthern Minerals & Exploration Ltd.QOC 5.0SLSRSolaris Resources Inc.QOC 4.2MTAMetalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd.QOC 2.3HLHecla Mining CompanyQOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: DYNR · MUX · VOXR · LODE · TFPM · SBSW · NMEX · SLSR · MTA · HL

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ELE?

7 companies across all industries closest to ELE’s Quality of Company score of 7.6/10.

AKRAcadia Realty TrustQOC 7.6PMTSCPI Card Group Inc.QOC 7.6NCNACCO Industries, Inc.QOC 7.6DDLDingdong (Cayman) LimitedQOC 7.6NANano Labs LtdQOC 7.6CERTCertara, Inc.QOC 7.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: AKR · PMTS · NC · DDL · NA · CERT · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Elemental Royalty Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Elemental Royalty Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Elemental Royalty Corporation (ELE)'s intrinsic value at $5.65 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $1.41 to $14.26. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $14.26 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ELE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $21.52, 0 of 11 active models suggest ELE may be undervalued, while 11 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $5.65, 73.7% below the current price of $21.52 — a consensus view that ELE is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Elemental Royalty Corporation's business model in Other Precious Metals & Mining.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.6 mean for ELE?

Elemental Royalty Corporation's QOC of 7.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ELE?

CirclFi analyzes ELE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ELE?

Of the 11 models currently active on ELE, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $14.26 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $1.41. CirclFi's published fair value for ELE is the median of that range, $5.65, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 227% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ELE a value trap in 2026?

Elemental Royalty Corporation's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Elemental Royalty Corporation (ELE) has a median fair value of $5.65 — 73.7% below the current price of $21.52 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ELE/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ELE valuation
  • Financial statements: Elemental Royalty Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002086771) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ELE as of ; valuations recomputed .

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