Acadia Realty Trust (AKR) Fair Value 2026

AKR · REIT - Retail ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Acadia Realty Trust (AKR) trades at $20.72, versus a $7.39 median fair value across its 8 active models — 64.3% below the current price. QOC: 7.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AKR
Price
$20.72
Quality Score
7.6/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: 8 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Acadia Realty Trust (AKR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Acadia Realty Trust (AKR) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $7.39, 64.3% below the current price of $20.72. Estimates range from $3.20 to $19.36. AKR scores 7.6/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. AKR’s -64.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the REIT - Retail sector median is -43.5%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Acadia Realty Trust Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AKR?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($20.72)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $6.95 -66.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $7.97 -61.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $7.05 -66.0%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $3.20 -84.6%
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What Is AKR's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $3.20 to $19.36

CirclFi's 8 active models place Acadia Realty Trust (AKR) between $3.20 and $19.36 per share, a spread of 219% of the median. The median of that range — $7.39 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for AKR, against a current price of $20.72.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · PWERM
$3.20median $7.39$19.36
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$3.20
Most bullish modelPWERM$19.36
Model agreement0 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for AKR. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on AKR, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Acadia Realty Trust (AKR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Acadia Realty Trust's intrinsic value is estimated at $7.39. Trading at its current price of $20.72, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 8 of 8 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -64.3%. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $19.36 (-6.6%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $3.20 (-84.6%). This +78.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Acadia Realty Trust's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About AKR?

8 of 13 models are currently active for AKR. All 8 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for AKR is $7.39 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AKR Rank in REIT - Retail?

Among 26 REIT - Retail stocks, AKR ranks #14 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.6 indicates above-average quality.

The REIT - Retail sector introduces analytical considerations specific to consumer businesses. For Acadia Realty Trust, metrics like same-store sales growth (comps) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is AKR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AKR a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Acadia Realty Trust. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Acadia Realty Trust earns a quality score of 7.6/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +78.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AKR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AKR's 8 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Acadia Realty Trust Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar REIT - Retail Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related REIT - Retail stocks with 13-model coverage

SITCSITE Centers Corp.QOC 7.6GTYGetty Realty Corp.QOC 7.5KRGKite Realty Group TrustQOC 7.7IVTInvenTrust Properties Corp.QOC 7.5BFSSaul Centers, Inc.QOC 7.7NNNNNN REIT, Inc.QOC 7.4CBLCBL & Associates Properties, Inc.QOC 7.2FRTFederal Realty Investment TrustQOC 8.9ORealty Income CorporationQOC 7.9REGRegency Centers CorporationQOC 8.6

Read investment analysis: SITC · GTY · KRG · IVT · BFS · NNN · CBL · FRT · O · REG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AKR?

7 companies across all industries closest to AKR’s Quality of Company score of 7.6/10.

NCNACCO Industries, Inc.QOC 7.6ELEElemental Royalty CorporationQOC 7.6NANano Labs LtdQOC 7.6PMTSCPI Card Group Inc.QOC 7.6ECOOkeanis Eco Tankers Corp.QOC 7.6DDLDingdong (Cayman) LimitedQOC 7.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: NC · ELE · NA · PMTS · ECO · DDL · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Acadia Realty Trust’s Valuation?

What is Acadia Realty Trust's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Acadia Realty Trust (AKR)'s intrinsic value at $7.39 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $3.20 to $19.36. The Quality of Company score is 7.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AKR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $20.72, 0 of 8 active models suggest AKR may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $7.39, 64.3% below the current price of $20.72 — a consensus view that AKR is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Acadia Realty Trust's business model in REIT - Retail.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.6 mean for AKR?

Acadia Realty Trust's QOC of 7.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AKR?

CirclFi analyzes AKR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on AKR?

Of the 8 models currently active on AKR, PWERM is the most bullish at $19.36 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $3.20. CirclFi's published fair value for AKR is the median of that range, $7.39, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 219% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is AKR a value trap in 2026?

Acadia Realty Trust's Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Acadia Realty Trust (AKR) has a median fair value of $7.39 — 64.3% below the current price of $20.72 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AKR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AKR valuation
  • Financial statements: Acadia Realty Trust 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000899629) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for AKR as of ; valuations recomputed .

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