Cheer Holding, Inc. (CHR) Fair Value 2026

CHR · Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

1.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 4 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (15/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-17, Cheer Holding, Inc. (CHR) trades at $1.85, approximately 373% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.39. QOC: 1.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 15/100 (SAFE). 4/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CHR
Price
$1.85
Quality Score
1.9/10
Value Trap Risk
15/100
Models Active
4/13
Last Updated
Strength: RCMH-DCF suggests +129.4% upside with 33% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 1.9/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Cheer Holding, Inc. (CHR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 4-model valuation engine, Cheer Holding, Inc. (CHR) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 4 independent fair value estimates is $1.84, essentially in line with the current price of $1.85. Estimates range from $0.39 to $4.26. CHR scores 1.9/10 on fundamental quality and 15/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Cheer Holding, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

4 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.85)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
 $0.39 -78.9%
RCMH-DCF
Medium Conviction
 $4.26 +129.4%

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What Is Cheer Holding, Inc. (CHR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Cheer Holding, Inc. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $1.86. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $2.08 (+12.3% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 1 bullish models and 1 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: RCMH-DCF targets $4.26 (+129.4%), versus Bayesian DCF at $0.39 (-78.9%). This +208.3% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About CHR?

4 of 13 models are currently active for CHR. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CHR's intrinsic value at $0.39, implying -78.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CHR Rank in Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation?

Among 68 Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation stocks, CHR ranks #68 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 1.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 1.9 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation Stocks →

Cheer Holding, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is CHR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CHR a score of 15/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

4 of 13 models are active for Cheer Holding, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Cheer Holding, Inc. is rated at 1.9/10. This weak-tier score exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +208.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CHR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CHR's 4 active models, average confidence is 18%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Cheer Holding, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation stocks with 13-model coverage

INODInnodata Inc.QOC 10.0IBEXIBEX LimitedQOC 10.0UPWKUpwork Inc.QOC 9.9CARGCarGurus, Inc.QOC 9.5TRAKReposiTrak, Inc.QOC 9.4RAMPLiveRamp Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.2RDDTReddit, Inc.QOC 9.0OOMAOoma, Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: INOD · IBEX · UPWK · CARG · TRAK

See all Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Cheer Holding, Inc.

What is Cheer Holding, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Cheer Holding, Inc. (CHR) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.39. The Quality of Company score is 1.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CHR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.85, 2 of 4 active models suggest CHR may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 4 fair value estimates is $1.84, essentially in line with the current price of $1.85 — a consensus view that CHR is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Cheer Holding, Inc.'s business model in Services-Computer Processing & Data Preparation.

What does a Quality of Company score of 1.9 mean for CHR?

Cheer Holding, Inc.'s QOC of 1.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CHR?

CirclFi analyzes CHR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 4 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CHR a value trap in 2026?

Cheer Holding, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 15/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 4-model valuation engine, Cheer Holding, Inc. (CHR) has a median fair value of $1.84 — essentially in line with the current price of $1.85 — as of 2026-07-17.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CHR/ · Methodology

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