Global Partners LP (GLP) Fair Value 2026

GLP · Oil & Gas Midstream ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (19/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Global Partners LP (GLP) trades at $50.50, versus a $43.48 median fair value across its 12 active models — 13.9% below the current price. QOC: 7.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 19/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $65.46.

Key Facts

Ticker
GLP
Price
$50.50
Quality Score
7.6/10
Value Trap Risk
19/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +112.2% upside with 57% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Is Global Partners LP (GLP) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Global Partners LP (GLP) appears overvalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $43.48, 13.9% below the current price of $50.50. Estimates range from $4.08 to $107.16. GLP scores 7.6/10 on fundamental quality and 19/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. GLP’s -13.9% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas Midstream sector median is -12.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Global Partners LP Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give GLP?

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($50.50)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $65.46 +29.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $38.18 -24.4%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $45.73 -9.4%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $107.16 +112.2%
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What Is GLP's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 12 independent models · $4.08 to $107.16

CirclFi's 12 active models place Global Partners LP (GLP) between $4.08 and $107.16 per share, a spread of 237% of the median. The median of that range — $43.48 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for GLP, against a current price of $50.50.

Low · Sentiment SOTPHigh · First Chicago
$4.08median $43.48$107.16
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelSentiment SOTP$4.08
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$107.16
Model agreement3 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for GLP. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on GLP, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Global Partners LP (GLP) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Global Partners LP at its current price of $50.50. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $43.48 (-13.9% vs price), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $107.16 (+112.2%), versus Sentiment SOTP at $4.08 (-91.9%). This +204.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About GLP?

12 of 13 models are currently active for GLP. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for GLP is $43.48 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $65.46 on its own, implying +29.6% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GLP Rank in Oil & Gas Midstream?

Among 55 Oil & Gas Midstream stocks, GLP ranks #28 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.6 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Oil & Gas Midstream Stocks →

Within the Oil & Gas Midstream space, Global Partners LP competes in an environment where debt-to-EBITDAX often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is GLP a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GLP a score of 19/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Global Partners LP. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Global Partners LP's fundamental quality profile registers 7.6/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +204.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GLP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GLP's 12 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Global Partners LP Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Midstream Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas Midstream stocks with 13-model coverage

TRPTC Energy CorporationQOC 7.7ENBEnbridge Inc.QOC 7.6BWLPBW LPG LimitedQOC 7.7DLNGDynagas LNG Partners LPQOC 7.5DTMDT Midstream, Inc.QOC 7.8KNTKKinetik Holdings Inc.QOC 7.4SUNCSunocoCorp LLCQOC 5.8TOPSTop Ships Inc.QOC 1.5KMIKinder Morgan, Inc.QOC 8.3HESMHess Midstream LPQOC 9.2FLNGFLEX LNG Ltd.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: TRP · ENB · BWLP · DLNG · DTM · KNTK · SUNC · TOPS · KMI · HESM · FLNG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to GLP?

7 companies across all industries closest to GLP’s Quality of Company score of 7.6/10.

VTOLBristow Group Inc.QOC 7.6ASIXAdvanSix Inc.QOC 7.6SITCSITE Centers Corp.QOC 7.6JAZZJazz Pharmaceuticals plcQOC 7.6HDSNHudson Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.6GILTGilat Satellite Networks Ltd.QOC 7.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: VTOL · ASIX · SITC · JAZZ · HDSN · GILT · NVDA

Where Does GLP Sit in CirclFi's Oil & Gas Midstream Rankings?

GLP is ranked against every other Oil & Gas Midstream stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Oil & Gas Midstream stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Global Partners LP’s Valuation?

What is Global Partners LP's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Global Partners LP (GLP)'s intrinsic value at $43.48 — the median of 12 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $4.08 to $107.16. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $65.46 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GLP overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $50.50, 4 of 12 active models suggest GLP may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $43.48, 13.9% below the current price of $50.50 — a consensus view that GLP is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Global Partners LP's business model in Oil & Gas Midstream.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.6 mean for GLP?

Global Partners LP's QOC of 7.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GLP?

CirclFi analyzes GLP with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on GLP?

Of the 12 models currently active on GLP, First Chicago is the most bullish at $107.16 per share, and Sentiment SOTP is the most bearish at $4.08. CirclFi's published fair value for GLP is the median of that range, $43.48, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 237% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is GLP a value trap in 2026?

Global Partners LP's Value Trap score is 19/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Global Partners LP (GLP) has a median fair value of $43.48 — 13.9% below the current price of $50.50 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GLP/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this GLP valuation
  • Financial statements: Global Partners LP 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001323468) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for GLP as of ; valuations recomputed .

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