Ziff Davis, Inc. (ZD) Fair Value 2026

ZD · Advertising Agencies ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (13/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Ziff Davis, Inc. (ZD) trades at $55.82, versus a $101.43 median fair value across its 13 active models — 81.7% above the current price. QOC: 8.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 13/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $118.42.

Key Facts

Ticker
ZD
Price
$55.82
Quality Score
8.0/10
Value Trap Risk
13/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +379.1% upside with 61% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (13/13) may reduce confidence

Is Ziff Davis, Inc. (ZD) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, Ziff Davis, Inc. (ZD) appears undervalued as of : the median of 13 independent fair value estimates is $101.43, 81.7% above the current price of $55.82. Estimates range from $0.65 to $267.42. ZD scores 8.0/10 on fundamental quality and 13/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. ZD’s +81.7% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Advertising Agencies sector median is +4.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Ziff Davis, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ZD?

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($55.82)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
$118.42 +112.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
$73.13 +31.0%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
$101.43 +81.7%
Scenario · High Conviction
$267.42 +379.1%
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What Is ZD's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 13 independent models · $0.65 to $267.42

CirclFi's 13 active models place Ziff Davis, Inc. (ZD) between $0.65 and $267.42 per share, a spread of 263% of the median. The median of that range — $101.43 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ZD, against a current price of $55.82.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · First Chicago
$0.65median $101.43$267.42
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$0.65
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$267.42
Model agreement10 bullish · 3 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ZD. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ZD, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Ziff Davis, Inc. (ZD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ziff Davis, Inc. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $55.82. Based on our 13-model framework, Ziff Davis, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $101.43 — representing +81.7% implied upside — with 10 out of 13 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $267.42 (+379.1%), versus ML-RIV at $0.65 (-98.8%). This +477.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About ZD?

13 of 13 models are currently active for ZD. Of these, 10 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ZD is $101.43 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $118.42 on its own, implying +112.2% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ZD Rank in Advertising Agencies?

Among 48 Advertising Agencies stocks, ZD ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.0 places ZD in the top tier.

Ziff Davis, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is ZD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ZD a score of 13/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Ziff Davis, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ziff Davis, Inc. scores 8.0 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +477.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ZD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ZD's 13 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Ziff Davis, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Advertising Agencies Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Advertising Agencies stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CRTO · ACCS · KRKR · CHR · DV · IZEA · WPP · TJGC · EDHL · APP · QNST

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ZD?

7 companies across all industries closest to ZD’s Quality of Company score of 8.0/10.

Read investment analysis: GRND · IRT · LOMA · AMRZ · TRMK · TIGO · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Ziff Davis, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Ziff Davis, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Ziff Davis, Inc. (ZD)'s intrinsic value at $101.43 — the median of 13 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.65 to $267.42. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $118.42 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ZD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $55.82, 10 of 13 active models suggest ZD may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 13 fair value estimates is $101.43, 81.7% above the current price of $55.82 — a consensus view that ZD is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Ziff Davis, Inc.'s business model in Advertising Agencies.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.0 mean for ZD?

Ziff Davis, Inc.'s QOC of 8.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ZD?

CirclFi analyzes ZD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ZD?

Of the 13 models currently active on ZD, First Chicago is the most bullish at $267.42 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $0.65. CirclFi's published fair value for ZD is the median of that range, $101.43, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 263% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ZD a value trap in 2026?

Ziff Davis, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 13/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 13-model valuation engine, Ziff Davis, Inc. (ZD) has a median fair value of $101.43 — 81.7% above the current price of $55.82 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ZD/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ZD valuation
  • Financial statements: Ziff Davis, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001084048) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ZD as of ; valuations recomputed .

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