Battalion Oil Corporation (BATL) Fair Value 2026

BATL · Oil & Gas E&P ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (10/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Battalion Oil Corporation (BATL) trades at $1.33, versus a $4.68 median fair value across its 3 active models — 251.7% above the current price. QOC: 7.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 10/100 (SAFE). 3/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $5.38.

Key Facts

Ticker
BATL
Price
$1.33
Quality Score
7.4/10
Value Trap Risk
10/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +304.2% upside with 56% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (3/13) may reduce confidence

Is Battalion Oil Corporation (BATL) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Battalion Oil Corporation (BATL) appears undervalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $4.68, 251.7% above the current price of $1.33. Estimates range from $1.88 to $5.38. BATL scores 7.4/10 on fundamental quality and 10/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. BATL’s +251.7% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas E&P sector median is -1.8%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Battalion Oil Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give BATL?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.33)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $5.38 +304.2%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $4.68 +251.7%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $1.88 +41.2%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is BATL's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $1.88 to $5.38

CirclFi's 3 active models place Battalion Oil Corporation (BATL) between $1.88 and $5.38 per share, a spread of 75% of the median. The median of that range — $4.68 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for BATL, against a current price of $1.33.

Low · PWERMHigh · Bayesian DCF
$1.88median $4.68$5.38
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelPWERM$1.88
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$5.38
Model agreement3 bullish · 0 bearishmoderate

A band of this width is typical. The methods agree on direction but weight growth, reinvestment and risk differently, so treat the median as a centre of gravity rather than a precise target.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on BATL, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Battalion Oil Corporation (BATL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Battalion Oil Corporation. Trading at $1.33 against an estimated intrinsic value of $4.68, 3 of 3 active models flag meaningful upside of +251.7% at the median. The most optimistic model, Bayesian DCF, places fair value at $5.38 (+304.2%), while PWERM — the most conservative — estimates $1.88 (+41.2%). This +263.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Battalion Oil Corporation's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About BATL?

3 of 13 models are currently active for BATL. All 3 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for BATL is $4.68 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $5.38 on its own, implying +304.2% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BATL Rank in Oil & Gas E&P?

Among 90 Oil & Gas E&P stocks, BATL ranks #43 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Oil & Gas E&P Stocks →

As a energy sector, Battalion Oil Corporation operates in a sector where capital efficiency ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating BATL should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is BATL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BATL a score of 10/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Battalion Oil Corporation. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Battalion Oil Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 7.4/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +263.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BATL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BATL's 3 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Battalion Oil Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas E&P Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas E&P stocks with 13-model coverage

CRKComstock Resources, Inc.QOC 7.4EPMEvolution Petroleum CorporationQOC 7.1ANNAAleAnna, Inc.QOC 7.5INRInfinity Natural Resources, Inc.QOC 7.1VTSVitesse Energy, Inc.QOC 7.5TALOTalos Energy Inc.QOC 6.9TPETTrio Petroleum Corp.QOC 5.6GPRKGeoPark LimitedQOC 2.8MTDRMatador Resources CompanyQOC 8.4TPLTexas Pacific Land CorporationQOC 9.1BSMBlack Stone Minerals, L.P.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: CRK · EPM · ANNA · INR · VTS · TALO · TPET · GPRK · MTDR · TPL · BSM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to BATL?

7 companies across all industries closest to BATL’s Quality of Company score of 7.4/10.

ROGRogers CorporationQOC 7.4HSHPHimalaya Shipping Ltd.QOC 7.4FULH.B. Fuller CompanyQOC 7.4DKNGDraftKings Inc.QOC 7.4IPIIntrepid Potash, Inc.QOC 7.4MNDYmonday.com Ltd.QOC 7.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ROG · HSHP · FUL · DKNG · IPI · MNDY · NVDA

Where Does BATL Sit in CirclFi's Oil & Gas E&P Rankings?

BATL is ranked against every other Oil & Gas E&P stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Oil & Gas E&P stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Battalion Oil Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Battalion Oil Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Battalion Oil Corporation (BATL)'s intrinsic value at $4.68 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $1.88 to $5.38. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $5.38 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BATL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.33, 3 of 3 active models suggest BATL may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $4.68, 251.7% above the current price of $1.33 — a consensus view that BATL is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Battalion Oil Corporation's business model in Oil & Gas E&P.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.4 mean for BATL?

Battalion Oil Corporation's QOC of 7.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BATL?

CirclFi analyzes BATL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on BATL?

Of the 3 models currently active on BATL, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $5.38 per share, and PWERM is the most bearish at $1.88. CirclFi's published fair value for BATL is the median of that range, $4.68, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 75% of the median — a normal spread for a company of this profile. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is BATL a value trap in 2026?

Battalion Oil Corporation's Value Trap score is 10/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Battalion Oil Corporation (BATL) has a median fair value of $4.68 — 251.7% above the current price of $1.33 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BATL/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this BATL valuation
  • Financial statements: Battalion Oil Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001282648) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for BATL as of ; valuations recomputed .