Arxis, Inc. (ARXS) Fair Value 2026

ARXS · Aerospace & Defense ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Arxis, Inc. (ARXS) trades at $52.47. QOC: 5.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ARXS
Price
$52.47
Quality Score
5.0/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +8.1% upside with 12% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (1/13) may reduce confidence

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ARXS?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($52.47)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Low Conviction
 $56.74 +8.1%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Arxis, Inc. (ARXS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Arxis, Inc.. Trading at $52.47 against an estimated intrinsic value of $56.74, 1 of 1 active models flag meaningful upside of +8.1% at the median.

What Do the Models Say About ARXS?

1 of 13 models are currently active for ARXS. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ARXS Rank in Aerospace & Defense?

Among 94 Aerospace & Defense stocks, ARXS ranks #69 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.0 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Aerospace & Defense Stocks →

Arxis, Inc.'s positioning within the Aerospace & Defense segment means that defense budget allocation plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including defense budget growth globally — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is ARXS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ARXS a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Arxis, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Arxis, Inc. earns a quality score of 5.0/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ARXS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ARXS's 1 active models, average confidence is 12%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Arxis, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Aerospace & Defense Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Aerospace & Defense stocks with 13-model coverage

MRLNMerlin, Inc.QOC 5.1LUNRIntuitive Machines, Inc.QOC 5.0HOVRNew Horizon Aircraft Ltd.QOC 5.1HONAHoneywell Aerospace Inc.QOC 4.9SIDUSidus Space, Inc.QOC 5.2FJETStarfighters Space, Inc.QOC 4.8ESLTElbit Systems Ltd.QOC 2.8CDRECadre Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.1EHEHang Holdings LimitedQOC 6.5BUKSButler National CorporationQOC 9.4HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: MRLN · LUNR · HOVR · HONA · SIDU · FJET · ESLT · CDRE · EH · BUKS · HWM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ARXS?

7 companies across all industries closest to ARXS’s Quality of Company score of 5.0/10.

GAMGGlobal Asset Management Group IQOC 5.0ADVBAdvanced Biomed Inc.QOC 5.0SORSource CapitalQOC 5.0VVOSVivos Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 5.0XXII22nd Century Group, Inc.QOC 5.0ACIUAC Immune SAQOC 5.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: GAMG · ADVB · SOR · VVOS · XXII · ACIU · NVDA

Where Does ARXS Sit in CirclFi's Aerospace & Defense Rankings?

ARXS is ranked against every other Aerospace & Defense stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Aerospace & Defense stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Arxis, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Arxis, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Arxis, Inc. (ARXS). The Quality of Company score is 5.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ARXS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $52.47, 1 of 1 active models suggest ARXS may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Arxis, Inc.'s business model in Aerospace & Defense.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.0 mean for ARXS?

Arxis, Inc.'s QOC of 5.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ARXS?

CirclFi analyzes ARXS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ARXS a value trap in 2026?

Arxis, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Arxis, Inc. (ARXS) a Quality of Company score of 5.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ARXS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ARXS valuation
  • Financial statements: Arxis, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002093536) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ARXS as of ; valuations recomputed .