OIO Group (OIO) Fair Value 2026

OIO · Waste Management ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (17/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, OIO Group (OIO) trades at $2.02, versus a $0.42 median fair value across its 2 active models — 79.3% below the current price. QOC: 5.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 17/100 (SAFE). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
OIO
Price
$2.02
Quality Score
5.0/10
Value Trap Risk
17/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: 2 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is OIO Group (OIO) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, OIO Group (OIO) appears overvalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $0.42, 79.3% below the current price of $2.02. Estimates range from $0.03 to $0.80. OIO scores 5.0/10 on fundamental quality and 17/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. OIO’s -79.3% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy OIO Group Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give OIO?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.02)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Low Conviction
 $0.80 -60.4%
Hybrid · Low Conviction
 $0.03 -98.3%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is OIO Group (OIO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, OIO Group's intrinsic value is estimated at $0.42, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $2.02. With 2 out of 2 models flagging downside (-79.3% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, FTNN, places fair value at $0.80 (-60.4%), while Sentiment SOTP — the most conservative — estimates $0.03 (-98.3%). This +37.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about OIO Group's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About OIO?

2 of 13 models are currently active for OIO. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for OIO is $0.42 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does OIO Rank in Waste Management?

Among 25 Waste Management stocks, OIO ranks #20 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.0 reflects mixed fundamentals.

OIO Group operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is OIO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns OIO a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for OIO Group. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, OIO Group is rated at 5.0/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +37.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every OIO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across OIO's 2 active models, average confidence is 6%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy OIO Group Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Waste Management Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Waste Management stocks with 13-model coverage

ARECAmerican Resources CorporationQOC 5.1GWAVGreenwave Technology Solutions, Inc.QOC 4.9WASTWaste Energy Corp.QOC 5.2AQMSAqua Metals, Inc.QOC 4.6ENGSEnergys Group LimitedQOC 5.2SNRGSusGlobal Energy Corp.QOC 4.4CLHClean Harbors, Inc.QOC 8.9CWSTCasella Waste Systems, Inc.QOC 7.3CDTGCDT Environmental Technology Investment Holdings LimitedQOC 5.9WCNWaste Connections, Inc.QOC 8.7

Read investment analysis: AREC · GWAV · WAST · AQMS · ENGS · SNRG · CLH · CWST · CDTG · WCN

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to OIO?

7 companies across all industries closest to OIO’s Quality of Company score of 5.0/10.

ARBKArgo Blockchain plcQOC 5.0WYGCWYGCQOC 5.0CLEVConcrete Leveling Systems, Inc.QOC 5.0REBNReborn Coffee, Inc.QOC 5.0ALTXAltex Industries, Inc.QOC 5.0JANJanus Living, Inc.QOC 5.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ARBK · WYGC · CLEV · REBN · ALTX · JAN · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About OIO Group’s Valuation?

What is OIO Group's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts OIO Group (OIO)'s intrinsic value at $0.42 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.03 to $0.80. The Quality of Company score is 5.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is OIO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.02, 0 of 2 active models suggest OIO may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $0.42, 79.3% below the current price of $2.02 — a consensus view that OIO is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits OIO Group's business model in Waste Management.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.0 mean for OIO?

OIO Group's QOC of 5.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on OIO?

CirclFi analyzes OIO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is OIO a value trap in 2026?

OIO Group's Value Trap score is 17/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, OIO Group (OIO) has a median fair value of $0.42 — 79.3% below the current price of $2.02 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/OIO/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this OIO valuation
  • Financial statements: OIO Group 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001957538) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for OIO as of ; valuations recomputed .