What Is American Resources Corporation (AREC) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on American Resources Corporation at its current price of $1.82. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $0.85 (-53.0% average return), with 5 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, FTNN sees the most upside at +53.9% (fair value: $2.80), while Regime Cross is the most conservative at -98.3% ($0.03). The spread between these extremes — +152.2% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About AREC?
7 of 13 models are currently active for AREC. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AREC's intrinsic value at $0.26, implying -85.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does AREC Rank in Coking Coal?
Among 2 Coking Coal stocks, AREC ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 3.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 3.7 signals below-average fundamentals.
As a oil and gas company, American Resources Corporation operates in a sector where reserve replacement ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating AREC should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is AREC a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AREC a score of 40/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
7 of 13 models are active for American Resources Corporation. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, American Resources Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 3.7/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +152.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every AREC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across AREC's 7 active models, average confidence is 23%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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