What Is American Resources Corporation (AREC) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, American Resources Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $2.72, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $2.36. With a median implied return of +15.1% across a split 1–1 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +121.3% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, RCMH-DCF sees the most upside at +75.8% (fair value: $4.15), while Bayesian DCF is the most conservative at -45.5% ($1.29). The spread between these extremes — +121.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About AREC?
2 of 13 models are currently active for AREC. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for AREC is $2.72 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $1.29 on its own, implying -45.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does AREC Rank in Waste Management?
Among 25 Waste Management stocks, AREC ranks #19 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.1 reflects mixed fundamentals.
American Resources Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is AREC a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AREC a score of 45/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
2 of 13 models are active for American Resources Corporation. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, American Resources Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 5.1/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +121.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every AREC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across AREC's 2 active models, average confidence is 19%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad