What Is Aqua Metals, Inc. (AQMS) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on Aqua Metals, Inc. at $2.75. With an estimated intrinsic value of $3.83 and 4 of 7 models pointing higher, the average implied return is +39.2%. The most optimistic model, Dynamic NAV, places fair value at $7.77 (+182.4%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $0.18 (-93.6%). This +276.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Aqua Metals, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About AQMS?
7 of 13 models are currently active for AQMS. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AQMS's intrinsic value at $1.67, implying -39.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does AQMS Rank in Secondary Smelting & Refining of Nonferrous Metals?
Among 2 Secondary Smelting & Refining of Nonferrous Metals stocks, AQMS ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.6 reflects mixed fundamentals.
The Secondary Smelting & Refining of Nonferrous Metals sector introduces analytical considerations specific to industrial businesses. For Aqua Metals, Inc., metrics like aftermarket revenue mix provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is AQMS a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AQMS a score of 27/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
7 of 13 models are active for Aqua Metals, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Aqua Metals, Inc. scores 4.6 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +276.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every AQMS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across AQMS's 7 active models, average confidence is 26%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad