StoneX Group Inc. (SNEX) Fair Value 2026

SNEX · Capital Markets ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (16/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, StoneX Group Inc. (SNEX) trades at $68.35, versus a $56.94 median fair value across its 5 active models — 16.7% below the current price. QOC: 7.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 16/100 (SAFE). 5/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SNEX
Price
$68.35
Quality Score
7.8/10
Value Trap Risk
16/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: 5 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is StoneX Group Inc. (SNEX) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, StoneX Group Inc. (SNEX) appears overvalued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $56.94, 16.7% below the current price of $68.35. Estimates range from $19.67 to $107.58. SNEX scores 7.8/10 on fundamental quality and 16/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. SNEX’s -16.7% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Capital Markets sector median is -34.6%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy StoneX Group Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SNEX?

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($68.35)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $19.67 -71.2%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $53.26 -22.1%
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What Is SNEX's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 5 independent models · $19.67 to $107.58

CirclFi's 5 active models place StoneX Group Inc. (SNEX) between $19.67 and $107.58 per share, a spread of 154% of the median. The median of that range — $56.94 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for SNEX, against a current price of $68.35.

Low · EPVHigh · FTNN
$19.67median $56.94$107.58
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$19.67
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$107.58
Model agreement1 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for SNEX. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on SNEX, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is StoneX Group Inc. (SNEX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, StoneX Group Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $56.94. Trading at its current price of $68.35, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 4 of 5 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -16.7%. The most optimistic model, FTNN, places fair value at $107.58 (+57.4%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $19.67 (-71.2%). This +128.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about StoneX Group Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About SNEX?

5 of 13 models are currently active for SNEX. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for SNEX is $56.94 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SNEX Rank in Capital Markets?

Among 103 Capital Markets stocks, SNEX ranks #18 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Capital Markets Stocks →

The Capital Markets sector introduces analytical considerations specific to banking businesses. For StoneX Group Inc., metrics like CET1 capital ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is SNEX a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SNEX a score of 16/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for StoneX Group Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, StoneX Group Inc. scores 7.8 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +128.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SNEX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SNEX's 5 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy StoneX Group Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Capital Markets Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Capital Markets stocks with 13-model coverage

GOLDGold.com, Inc.QOC 7.9FIGRFigure Technology Solutions, Inc.QOC 7.8VIRTVirtu Financial, Inc.QOC 7.9SFStifel Financial Corp.QOC 7.8IRENIREN LimitedQOC 7.9COHNCohen & Company Inc.QOC 7.7HIVEHIVE Digital Technologies Ltd.QOC 6.2NCTYThe9 LimitedQOC 5.1AUREAurelion Inc.QOC 2.7FUTUFutu Holdings LimitedQOC 9.8HOODRobinhood Markets, Inc.QOC 9.7

Read investment analysis: GOLD · FIGR · VIRT · SF · IREN · COHN · HIVE · NCTY · AURE · FUTU · HOOD

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SNEX?

7 companies across all industries closest to SNEX’s Quality of Company score of 7.8/10.

PACSPACS Group, Inc.QOC 7.8CGThe Carlyle Group Inc.QOC 7.8LZLegalZoom.com, Inc.QOC 7.8SHOSunstone Hotel Investors, Inc.QOC 7.8MUSAMurphy USA Inc.QOC 7.8TBLATaboola.com Ltd.QOC 7.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: PACS · CG · LZ · SHO · MUSA · TBLA · NVDA

Where Does SNEX Sit in CirclFi's Capital Markets Rankings?

SNEX is ranked against every other Capital Markets stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Capital Markets stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About StoneX Group Inc.’s Valuation?

What is StoneX Group Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts StoneX Group Inc. (SNEX)'s intrinsic value at $56.94 — the median of 5 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $19.67 to $107.58. The Quality of Company score is 7.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SNEX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $68.35, 1 of 5 active models suggest SNEX may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $56.94, 16.7% below the current price of $68.35 — a consensus view that SNEX is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits StoneX Group Inc.'s business model in Capital Markets.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.8 mean for SNEX?

StoneX Group Inc.'s QOC of 7.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SNEX?

CirclFi analyzes SNEX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on SNEX?

Of the 5 models currently active on SNEX, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $107.58 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $19.67. CirclFi's published fair value for SNEX is the median of that range, $56.94, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 154% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is SNEX a value trap in 2026?

StoneX Group Inc.'s Value Trap score is 16/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, StoneX Group Inc. (SNEX) has a median fair value of $56.94 — 16.7% below the current price of $68.35 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SNEX/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SNEX valuation
  • Financial statements: StoneX Group Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000913760) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SNEX as of ; valuations recomputed .

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