Galaxy Digital (GLXY) Fair Value 2026

GLXY · Capital Markets ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (27/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Galaxy Digital (GLXY) trades at $23.21. QOC: 5.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 27/100 (LOW). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
GLXY
Price
$23.21
Quality Score
5.8/10
Value Trap Risk
27/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: 1 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give GLXY?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($23.21)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $2.70 -88.4%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Galaxy Digital (GLXY) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Galaxy Digital's intrinsic value is estimated at $2.70. Trading at its current price of $23.21, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 1 of 1 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -88.4%.

What Do the Models Say About GLXY?

1 of 13 models are currently active for GLXY. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GLXY Rank in Capital Markets?

Among 103 Capital Markets stocks, GLXY ranks #50 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Capital Markets Stocks →

The Capital Markets sector introduces analytical considerations specific to banking businesses. For Galaxy Digital, metrics like cost-to-income ratio provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is GLXY a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GLXY a score of 27/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Galaxy Digital. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Galaxy Digital scores 5.8 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GLXY valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GLXY's 1 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Galaxy Digital Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Capital Markets Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Capital Markets stocks with 13-model coverage

IRENIREN LimitedQOC 5.8ATCHAtlasClear Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.8TOPTOP Financial Group LimitedQOC 5.9BGDEBig Digital Energy, Inc.QOC 5.8MNTRMentor Capital, Inc.QOC 6.0MARAMARA Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.8BRRProCap Financial, Inc.QOC 4.9MATHMetalpha Technology Holding LimitedQOC 2.4PWPPerella Weinberg PartnersQOC 7.6FUTUFutu Holdings LimitedQOC 9.8HOODRobinhood Markets, Inc.QOC 9.7

Read investment analysis: IREN · ATCH · TOP · BGDE · MNTR · MARA · BRR · MATH · PWP · FUTU · HOOD

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to GLXY?

7 companies across all industries closest to GLXY’s Quality of Company score of 5.8/10.

CBDYTarget Group Inc.QOC 5.8NGLNGL Energy Partners LPQOC 5.8UMEWUMeWorld Inc.QOC 5.8ADVAdvantage Solutions Inc.QOC 5.8ATGLAlpha Technology Group LimitedQOC 5.8KMTSKestra Medical Technologies, Ltd.QOC 5.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CBDY · NGL · UMEW · ADV · ATGL · KMTS · NVDA

Where Does GLXY Sit in CirclFi's Capital Markets Rankings?

GLXY is ranked against every other Capital Markets stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Capital Markets stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Galaxy Digital’s Valuation?

What is Galaxy Digital's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Galaxy Digital (GLXY). The Quality of Company score is 5.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GLXY overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $23.21, 0 of 1 active models suggest GLXY may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Galaxy Digital's business model in Capital Markets.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.8 mean for GLXY?

Galaxy Digital's QOC of 5.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GLXY?

CirclFi analyzes GLXY with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is GLXY a value trap in 2026?

Galaxy Digital's Value Trap score is 27/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Galaxy Digital (GLXY) a Quality of Company score of 5.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GLXY/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this GLXY valuation
  • Financial statements: Galaxy Digital 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001859392) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for GLXY as of ; valuations recomputed .