What Is PriceSmart, Inc. (PSMT) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, PriceSmart, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $109.12. Trading at its current price of $191.13, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -42.9%. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $303.85 (+59.0%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $8.21 (-95.7%). This +154.7% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about PriceSmart, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About PSMT?
13 of 13 models are currently active for PSMT. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates PSMT's intrinsic value at $8.21, implying -95.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does PSMT Rank in Retail-Variety Stores?
Among 10 Retail-Variety Stores stocks, PSMT ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.1 places PSMT in the top tier.
The Retail-Variety Stores sector introduces analytical considerations specific to consumer businesses. For PriceSmart, Inc., metrics like same-store sales growth (comps) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is PSMT a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for PSMT. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for PriceSmart, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, PriceSmart, Inc. scores 9.1 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a elite rating that ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +154.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every PSMT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across PSMT's 13 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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