What Is Dollar General Corporation (DG) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Dollar General Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $135.91, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $123.43. With an average implied return of +10.1% across a split 7–4 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +208.8% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, ML-RIV sees the most upside at +114.3% (fair value: $264.50), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -94.5% ($6.74). The spread between these extremes — +208.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About DG?
13 of 13 models are currently active for DG. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates DG's intrinsic value at $168.72, implying +36.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does DG Rank in Retail-Variety Stores?
Among 10 Retail-Variety Stores stocks, DG ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.1 places DG in the top tier.
As a retail business, Dollar General Corporation operates in a sector where inventory turnover is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating DG should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is DG a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns DG a score of 27/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Dollar General Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Dollar General Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 8.1/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +208.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every DG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across DG's 13 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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