What Is Walmart Inc. (WMT) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Walmart Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $52.14. Trading at its current price of $114.78, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 12 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -54.6%. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $109.34 (-4.7%), versus EROIC at $17.53 (-84.7%). This +80.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About WMT?
13 of 13 models are currently active for WMT. All 13 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates WMT's intrinsic value at $20.93, implying -81.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does WMT Rank in Retail-Variety Stores?
Among 10 Retail-Variety Stores stocks, WMT ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.3 places WMT in the top tier.
Walmart Inc.'s positioning within the Retail-Variety Stores segment means that customer lifetime value (CLV) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including consumer spending resilience — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is WMT a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for WMT. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Walmart Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Walmart Inc. scores 9.3 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a elite rating that ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +80.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every WMT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across WMT's 13 active models, average confidence is 57%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad