Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd (LRE) Fair Value 2026

LRE · Real Estate - Development ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (42/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd (LRE) trades at $1.26, versus a $4.98 median fair value across its 9 active models — 295.5% above the current price. QOC: 7.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 42/100 (WARN). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $5.79.

Key Facts

Ticker
LRE
Price
$1.26
Quality Score
7.6/10
Value Trap Risk
42/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +359.6% upside with 56% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 42 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd (LRE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd (LRE) appears undervalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $4.98, 295.5% above the current price of $1.26. Estimates range from $2.95 to $5.79. LRE scores 7.6/10 on fundamental quality and 42/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. LRE’s +295.5% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give LRE?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.26)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $5.79 +359.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $3.02 +139.4%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $4.98 +295.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $3.03 +140.8%
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What Is LRE's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $2.95 to $5.79

CirclFi's 9 active models place Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd (LRE) between $2.95 and $5.79 per share, a spread of 57% of the median. The median of that range — $4.98 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for LRE, against a current price of $1.26.

Low · Regime CrossHigh · Bayesian DCF
$2.95median $4.98$5.79
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$2.95
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$5.79
Model agreement9 bullish · 0 bearishmoderate

A band of this width is typical. The methods agree on direction but weight growth, reinvestment and risk differently, so treat the median as a centre of gravity rather than a precise target.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on LRE, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd (LRE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd is potentially undervalued at its current price of $1.26. Based on our 13-model framework, Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $4.98 — representing +295.5% implied upside — with 9 out of 9 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: Bayesian DCF targets $5.79 (+359.6%), versus Regime Cross at $2.95 (+134.0%). This +225.6% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About LRE?

9 of 13 models are currently active for LRE. All 9 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for LRE is $4.98 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $5.79 on its own, implying +359.6% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LRE Rank in Real Estate - Development?

Among 19 Real Estate - Development stocks, LRE ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.6 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Real Estate - Development space, Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd competes in an environment where occupancy rate often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is LRE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LRE a score of 42/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd's fundamental quality profile registers 7.6/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +225.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LRE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LRE's 9 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate - Development Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Real Estate - Development stocks with 13-model coverage

FORForestar Group Inc.QOC 7.7HHHHoward Hughes Holdings Inc.QOC 7.3FPHFive Point Holdings, LLCQOC 7.7SDHCSmith Douglas Homes Corp.QOC 7.1AXRAMREP CorporationQOC 8.0CCSCentury Communities, Inc.QOC 6.9SRRESunrise Real Estate Group, Inc.QOC 6.3OZBelpointe PREP, LLCQOC 5.0RENXRenX Enterprises Corp.QOC 4.0

Read investment analysis: FOR · HHH · FPH · SDHC · AXR · CCS · SRRE · OZ · RENX

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to LRE?

7 companies across all industries closest to LRE’s Quality of Company score of 7.6/10.

CRICarter's, Inc.QOC 7.6GILTGilat Satellite Networks Ltd.QOC 7.6JAZZJazz Pharmaceuticals plcQOC 7.6FERFerrovial N.V.QOC 7.6ASIXAdvanSix Inc.QOC 7.6RMRegional Management Corp.QOC 7.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CRI · GILT · JAZZ · FER · ASIX · RM · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd’s Valuation?

What is Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd (LRE)'s intrinsic value at $4.98 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $2.95 to $5.79. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $5.79 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LRE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.26, 9 of 9 active models suggest LRE may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $4.98, 295.5% above the current price of $1.26 — a consensus view that LRE is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd's business model in Real Estate - Development.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.6 mean for LRE?

Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd's QOC of 7.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LRE?

CirclFi analyzes LRE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on LRE?

Of the 9 models currently active on LRE, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $5.79 per share, and Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bearish at $2.95. CirclFi's published fair value for LRE is the median of that range, $4.98, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 57% of the median — a normal spread for a company of this profile. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is LRE a value trap in 2026?

Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd's Value Trap score is 42/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd (LRE) has a median fair value of $4.98 — 295.5% above the current price of $1.26 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/LRE/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this LRE valuation
  • Financial statements: Lead Real Estate Co., Ltd 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001888980) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for LRE as of ; valuations recomputed .

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