Sky Harbour Group Corporation (SKYH) Fair Value 2026

SKYH · Real Estate - Development ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (28/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Sky Harbour Group Corporation (SKYH) trades at $10.57, versus a $3.49 median fair value across its 3 active models — 67.0% below the current price. QOC: 5.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 28/100 (LOW). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SKYH
Price
$10.57
Quality Score
5.9/10
Value Trap Risk
28/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: 3 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Sky Harbour Group Corporation (SKYH) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Sky Harbour Group Corporation (SKYH) appears overvalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $3.49, 67.0% below the current price of $10.57. Estimates range from $1.74 to $6.11. SKYH scores 5.9/10 on fundamental quality and 28/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. SKYH’s -67.0% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Sky Harbour Group Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SKYH?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($10.57)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $1.74 -83.5%
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $6.11 -42.2%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $3.49 -67.0%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is SKYH's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $1.74 to $6.11

CirclFi's 3 active models place Sky Harbour Group Corporation (SKYH) between $1.74 and $6.11 per share, a spread of 125% of the median. The median of that range — $3.49 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for SKYH, against a current price of $10.57.

Low · Regime CrossHigh · PWERM
$1.74median $3.49$6.11
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$1.74
Most bullish modelPWERM$6.11
Model agreement0 bullish · 3 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for SKYH. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on SKYH, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Sky Harbour Group Corporation (SKYH) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Sky Harbour Group Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $3.49, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $10.57. With 3 out of 3 models flagging downside (-67.0% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at -42.2% (fair value: $6.11), while Regime Cross is the most conservative at -83.5% ($1.74). The spread between these extremes — +41.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About SKYH?

3 of 13 models are currently active for SKYH. All 3 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for SKYH is $3.49 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SKYH Rank in Real Estate - Development?

Among 19 Real Estate - Development stocks, SKYH ranks #11 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.9 reflects mixed fundamentals.

As a REIT, Sky Harbour Group Corporation operates in a sector where debt-to-EBITDA is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating SKYH should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is SKYH a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SKYH a score of 28/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Sky Harbour Group Corporation. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Sky Harbour Group Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 5.9/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +41.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SKYH valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SKYH's 3 active models, average confidence is 24%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Sky Harbour Group Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate - Development Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Real Estate - Development stocks with 13-model coverage

KANPKaanapali Land, LLCQOC 6.0ILALInternational Land Alliance, Inc.QOC 5.0JFBJFB Construction HoldingsQOC 6.1OZBelpointe PREP, LLCQOC 5.0SRRESunrise Real Estate Group, Inc.QOC 6.3MRNOMurano Global Investments PlcQOC 4.9AEIAlset Inc.QOC 4.8AXRAMREP CorporationQOC 8.0SDHCSmith Douglas Homes Corp.QOC 7.1FPHFive Point Holdings, LLCQOC 7.7

Read investment analysis: KANP · ILAL · JFB · OZ · SRRE · MRNO · AEI · AXR · SDHC · FPH

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SKYH?

7 companies across all industries closest to SKYH’s Quality of Company score of 5.9/10.

PBSVPharma-Bio Serv, Inc.QOC 5.9AEVAAeva Technologies, Inc.QOC 5.9SYRASyra Health Corp.QOC 5.9ABEOAbeona Therapeutics Inc.QOC 5.9ARCCAres Capital CorporationQOC 5.9JBDIJBDI Holdings LimitedQOC 5.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: PBSV · AEVA · SYRA · ABEO · ARCC · JBDI · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Sky Harbour Group Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Sky Harbour Group Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Sky Harbour Group Corporation (SKYH)'s intrinsic value at $3.49 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $1.74 to $6.11. The Quality of Company score is 5.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SKYH overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $10.57, 0 of 3 active models suggest SKYH may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $3.49, 67.0% below the current price of $10.57 — a consensus view that SKYH is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Sky Harbour Group Corporation's business model in Real Estate - Development.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.9 mean for SKYH?

Sky Harbour Group Corporation's QOC of 5.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SKYH?

CirclFi analyzes SKYH with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on SKYH?

Of the 3 models currently active on SKYH, PWERM is the most bullish at $6.11 per share, and Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bearish at $1.74. CirclFi's published fair value for SKYH is the median of that range, $3.49, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 125% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is SKYH a value trap in 2026?

Sky Harbour Group Corporation's Value Trap score is 28/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Sky Harbour Group Corporation (SKYH) has a median fair value of $3.49 — 67.0% below the current price of $10.57 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SKYH/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SKYH valuation
  • Financial statements: Sky Harbour Group Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001823587) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SKYH as of ; valuations recomputed .