Sky Harbour Group Corporation (SKYH) Fair Value 2026

SKYH · Real Estate ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Sky Harbour Group Corporation (SKYH) trades at $9.83, approximately 3823% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.25. QOC: 5.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SKYH
Price
$9.83
Quality Score
5.4/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: 8 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Sky Harbour Group Corporation (SKYH) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Sky Harbour Group Corporation (SKYH) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $4.03, 59.0% below the current price of $9.83. Estimates range from $0.25 to $9.32. SKYH scores 5.4/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Sky Harbour Group Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($9.83)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
$0.25 -97.5%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$5.16 -47.5%
RCMH-DCF
Medium Conviction
$0.72 -92.7%
ML-RIV
Medium Conviction
$0.95 -90.3%

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What Is Sky Harbour Group Corporation (SKYH) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Sky Harbour Group Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $3.96, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $9.83. With 8 out of 8 models flagging downside (-59.8% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at -5.2% (fair value: $9.32), while Bayesian DCF is the most conservative at -97.5% ($0.25). The spread between these extremes — +92.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About SKYH?

8 of 13 models are currently active for SKYH. All 8 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates SKYH's intrinsic value at $0.25, implying -97.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SKYH Rank in Real Estate?

Among 32 Real Estate stocks, SKYH ranks #21 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.4 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Stocks →

As a REIT, Sky Harbour Group Corporation operates in a sector where debt-to-EBITDA is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating SKYH should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is SKYH a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SKYH a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Sky Harbour Group Corporation. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Sky Harbour Group Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 5.4/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +92.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SKYH valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SKYH's 8 active models, average confidence is 26%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Sky Harbour Group Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Real Estate Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Real Estate stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CHCI · FSV · FPH · VTMX · IIPR

See all Real Estate stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Sky Harbour Group Corporation

What is Sky Harbour Group Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Sky Harbour Group Corporation (SKYH) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.25. The Quality of Company score is 5.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SKYH overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $9.83, 0 of 8 active models suggest SKYH may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $4.03, 59.0% below the current price of $9.83 — a consensus view that SKYH is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Sky Harbour Group Corporation's business model in Real Estate.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.4 mean for SKYH?

Sky Harbour Group Corporation's QOC of 5.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SKYH?

CirclFi analyzes SKYH with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SKYH a value trap in 2026?

Sky Harbour Group Corporation's Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Sky Harbour Group Corporation (SKYH) has a median fair value of $4.03 — 59.0% below the current price of $9.83 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SKYH/ · Methodology

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