What Is Intercontinental Hotels Group (IHG) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Intercontinental Hotels Group's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $192.64, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $159.93. While the average implied return is +20.5%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +372.9% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, Dynamic NAV, places fair value at $636.69 (+298.1%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $40.28 (-74.8%). This +372.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Intercontinental Hotels Group's intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About IHG?
13 of 13 models are currently active for IHG. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates IHG's intrinsic value at $62.32, implying -61.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does IHG Rank in Hotels & Motels?
Among 27 Hotels & Motels stocks, IHG ranks #26 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.3 signals below-average fundamentals.
Intercontinental Hotels Group operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is IHG a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for IHG. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Intercontinental Hotels Group. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Intercontinental Hotels Group earns a quality score of 2.3/10. This concerning rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +372.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every IHG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across IHG's 13 active models, average confidence is 22%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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