Lightspeed Commerce Inc. (LSPD) Fair Value 2026

LSPD · Software - Application ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (40/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Lightspeed Commerce Inc. (LSPD) trades at $10.79. QOC: 2.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 40/100 (WARN). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
LSPD
Price
$10.79
Quality Score
2.6/10
Value Trap Risk
40/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +157.5% upside with 25% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 40 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give LSPD?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($10.79)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $27.79 +157.5%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Lightspeed Commerce Inc. (LSPD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Lightspeed Commerce Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $27.79. At a current market price of $10.79, 1 of 1 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +157.5%.

What Do the Models Say About LSPD?

1 of 13 models are currently active for LSPD. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LSPD Rank in Software - Application?

Among 256 Software - Application stocks, LSPD ranks #252 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.6 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Software - Application Stocks →

As a software business, Lightspeed Commerce Inc. operates in a sector where rule of 40 score is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating LSPD should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is LSPD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LSPD a score of 40/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Lightspeed Commerce Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Lightspeed Commerce Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 2.6/10. This concerning score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LSPD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LSPD's 1 active models, average confidence is 25%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Lightspeed Commerce Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Software - Application Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Software - Application stocks with 13-model coverage

NTCLNetClass Technology IncQOC 2.6RCTRedCloud Holdings plcQOC 2.5MASK3 E Network Technology Group LimitedQOC 2.7WCTWellchange Holdings Company LimitedQOC 2.4BMRBeamr Imaging Ltd.QOC 2.8BIYABaiya International Group Inc.QOC 2.3OOMAOoma, Inc.QOC 8.3PAYDPAID, Inc.QOC 6.7BBLRBubblr Inc.QOC 5.0ADSKAutodesk, Inc.QOC 9.8PTCPTC Inc.QOC 9.8

Read investment analysis: NTCL · RCT · MASK · WCT · BMR · BIYA · OOMA · PAYD · BBLR · ADSK · PTC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to LSPD?

7 companies across all industries closest to LSPD’s Quality of Company score of 2.6/10.

AAUCAllied Gold CorporationQOC 2.6SLGLSol-Gel Technologies Ltd.QOC 2.6PLGPlatinum Group Metals Ltd.QOC 2.6IHGInterContinental Hotels Group PLCQOC 2.6WFFWF Holding LimitedQOC 2.6HKITHitek Global Inc.QOC 2.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: AAUC · SLGL · PLG · IHG · WFF · HKIT · NVDA

Where Does LSPD Sit in CirclFi's Software - Application Rankings?

LSPD is ranked against every other Software - Application stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Software - Application stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Lightspeed Commerce Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Lightspeed Commerce Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Lightspeed Commerce Inc. (LSPD). The Quality of Company score is 2.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LSPD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $10.79, 1 of 1 active models suggest LSPD may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Lightspeed Commerce Inc.'s business model in Software - Application.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.6 mean for LSPD?

Lightspeed Commerce Inc.'s QOC of 2.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LSPD?

CirclFi analyzes LSPD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is LSPD a value trap in 2026?

Lightspeed Commerce Inc.'s Value Trap score is 40/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Lightspeed Commerce Inc. (LSPD) a Quality of Company score of 2.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/LSPD/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this LSPD valuation
  • Financial statements: Lightspeed Commerce Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001823306) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for LSPD as of ; valuations recomputed .