Earth Science Tech, Inc. (ETST) Fair Value 2026

ETST · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (17/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Earth Science Tech, Inc. (ETST) trades at $0.09, versus a $0.09 median fair value across its 9 active models — 7.1% below the current price. QOC: 8.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 17/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $0.04.

Key Facts

Ticker
ETST
Price
$0.09
Quality Score
8.5/10
Value Trap Risk
17/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +86.2% upside with 61% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Earth Science Tech, Inc. (ETST) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Earth Science Tech, Inc. (ETST) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $0.09, within 7.1% of the current price of $0.09. Estimates range from $0.04 to $0.17. ETST scores 8.5/10 on fundamental quality and 17/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. ETST’s -7.1% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic sector median is -1.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Earth Science Tech, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ETST?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.09)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.04 -59.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $0.09 -7.1%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $0.17 +86.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.05 -40.4%
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What Is ETST's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $0.04 to $0.17

CirclFi's 9 active models place Earth Science Tech, Inc. (ETST) between $0.04 and $0.17 per share, a spread of 157% of the median. The median of that range — $0.09 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ETST, against a current price of $0.09.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · First Chicago
$0.04median $0.09$0.17
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$0.04
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$0.17
Model agreement4 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ETST. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ETST, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Earth Science Tech, Inc. (ETST) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Earth Science Tech, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $0.09. Trading at $0.09, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -7.1%), as 5 of 9 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $0.17 (+86.2%), versus Bayesian DCF at $0.04 (-59.6%). This +145.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About ETST?

9 of 13 models are currently active for ETST. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ETST is $0.09 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $0.04 on its own, implying -59.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ETST Rank in Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic?

Among 110 Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, ETST ranks #13 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.5 places ETST in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic Stocks →

Earth Science Tech, Inc.'s positioning within the Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic segment means that R&D productivity ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including orphan drug designation — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is ETST a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ETST a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Earth Science Tech, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Earth Science Tech, Inc. earns a quality score of 8.5/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +145.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ETST valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ETST's 9 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Earth Science Tech, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks with 13-model coverage

HLNHaleon plcQOC 8.5BCRXBioCryst Pharmaceuticals, Inc.QOC 8.4ALKSAlkermes plcQOC 8.6SIGASIGA Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.4PAHCPhibro Animal Health CorporationQOC 8.7PBHPrestige Consumer Healthcare Inc.QOC 8.3ACBAurora Cannabis Inc.QOC 6.5TLPHTalphera, Inc.QOC 5.7BUDZWEED, Inc.QOC 4.2UTHRUnited Therapeutics CorporationQOC 9.6AMPHAmphastar Pharmaceuticals, Inc.QOC 9.4

Read investment analysis: HLN · BCRX · ALKS · SIGA · PAHC · PBH · ACB · TLPH · BUDZ · UTHR · AMPH

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ETST?

6 companies across all industries closest to ETST’s Quality of Company score of 8.5/10.

ARCOArcos Dorados Holdings Inc.QOC 8.5PLOWDouglas Dynamics, Inc.QOC 8.5NWPXNWPX Infrastructure, Inc.QOC 8.5CORTCorcept Therapeutics IncorporatedQOC 8.5ENSGThe Ensign Group, Inc.QOC 8.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ARCO · PLOW · NWPX · CORT · ENSG · NVDA

Where Does ETST Sit in CirclFi's Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic Rankings?

ETST is ranked against every other Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Earth Science Tech, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Earth Science Tech, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Earth Science Tech, Inc. (ETST)'s intrinsic value at $0.09 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.04 to $0.17. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $0.04 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ETST overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.09, 4 of 9 active models suggest ETST may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $0.09, within 7.1% of the current price of $0.09 — a consensus view that ETST is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Earth Science Tech, Inc.'s business model in Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.5 mean for ETST?

Earth Science Tech, Inc.'s QOC of 8.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ETST?

CirclFi analyzes ETST with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ETST?

Of the 9 models currently active on ETST, First Chicago is the most bullish at $0.17 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $0.04. CirclFi's published fair value for ETST is the median of that range, $0.09, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 157% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ETST a value trap in 2026?

Earth Science Tech, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 17/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Earth Science Tech, Inc. (ETST) has a median fair value of $0.09 — within 7.1% of the current price of $0.09 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ETST/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ETST valuation
  • Financial statements: Earth Science Tech, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001538495) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ETST as of ; valuations recomputed .

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