Amdocs Limited (DOX) Fair Value 2026

DOX · Services-Computer Programming Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (28/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Amdocs Limited (DOX) trades at $52.76, approximately 40% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $87.40. QOC: 8.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 28/100 (LOW). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
DOX
Price
$52.76
Quality Score
8.0/10
Value Trap Risk
28/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +65.7% upside with 40% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($52.76)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
$87.40 +65.7%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$59.12 +12.1%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$60.04 +13.8%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$11.03 -79.1%

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What Is Amdocs Limited (DOX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Amdocs Limited's intrinsic value is estimated at $49.84, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $52.76. With an average implied return of -5.5% across a split 5–6 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +242.9% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, RCMH-DCF sees the most upside at +145.1% (fair value: $129.30), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -97.8% ($1.14). The spread between these extremes — +242.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About DOX?

12 of 13 models are currently active for DOX. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates DOX's intrinsic value at $87.40, implying +65.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does DOX Rank in Services-Computer Programming Services?

Among 31 Services-Computer Programming Services stocks, DOX ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.0 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Services-Computer Programming Services Stocks →

Amdocs Limited operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is DOX a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns DOX a score of 28/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Amdocs Limited. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Amdocs Limited is rated at 8.0/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +242.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every DOX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across DOX's 12 active models, average confidence is 29%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Amdocs Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Computer Programming Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Services-Computer Programming Services stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: DOCS · ISSC · CTSH · EPAM · WIT

See all Services-Computer Programming Services stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Amdocs Limited

What is Amdocs Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Amdocs Limited (DOX) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $87.40. The Quality of Company score is 8.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is DOX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $52.76, 5 of 12 active models suggest DOX may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Amdocs Limited's business model in Services-Computer Programming Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.0 mean for DOX?

Amdocs Limited's QOC of 8.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on DOX?

CirclFi analyzes DOX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is DOX a value trap in 2026?

Amdocs Limited's Value Trap score is 28/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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