Central Plains Bancshares, Inc. (CPBI) Fair Value 2026

CPBI · Savings Institution, Federally Chartered ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Central Plains Bancshares, Inc. (CPBI) trades at $19.75, approximately 32% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $28.88. QOC: 9.5/10. 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CPBI
Price
$19.75
Quality Score
9.5/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +87.2% upside with 44% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($19.75)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$28.88 +46.2%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$6.26 -68.3%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$23.66 +19.8%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$36.97 +87.2%

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What Is Central Plains Bancshares, Inc. (CPBI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Central Plains Bancshares, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $23.55, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $19.75. With an average implied return of +19.2% across a split 6–4 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +180.1% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, RCMH-DCF sees the most upside at +111.8% (fair value: $41.83), while EPV is the most conservative at -68.3% ($6.26). The spread between these extremes — +180.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About CPBI?

11 of 13 models are currently active for CPBI. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CPBI's intrinsic value at $28.88, implying +46.2% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CPBI Rank in Savings Institution, Federally Chartered?

Among 36 Savings Institution, Federally Chartered stocks, CPBI ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.5 places CPBI in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Savings Institution, Federally Chartered Stocks →

Central Plains Bancshares, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is CPBI a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for CPBI. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Central Plains Bancshares, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Central Plains Bancshares, Inc. earns a quality score of 9.5/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +180.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CPBI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CPBI's 11 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Central Plains Bancshares, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Savings Institution, Federally Chartered Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Savings Institution, Federally Chartered stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: MGYR · HTB · AX · FCAP · CLST

See all Savings Institution, Federally Chartered stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Central Plains Bancshares, Inc.

What is Central Plains Bancshares, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Central Plains Bancshares, Inc. (CPBI) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $28.88. The Quality of Company score is 9.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CPBI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $19.75, 7 of 11 active models suggest CPBI may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Central Plains Bancshares, Inc.'s business model in Savings Institution, Federally Chartered.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.5 mean for CPBI?

Central Plains Bancshares, Inc.'s QOC of 9.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CPBI?

CirclFi analyzes CPBI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CPBI a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for CPBI at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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