What Is Ball Corporation (BALL) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ball Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $42.43, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $60.46. With 10 out of 12 models flagging downside (-29.8% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +78.2% (fair value: $107.74), while EPV is the most conservative at -82.6% ($10.51). The spread between these extremes — +160.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About BALL?
12 of 13 models are currently active for BALL. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates BALL's intrinsic value at $10.56, implying -82.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does BALL Rank in Metal Cans?
Among 4 Metal Cans stocks, BALL ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.
As a manufacturing company, Ball Corporation operates in a sector where capacity utilization rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating BALL should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is BALL a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BALL a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Ball Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Ball Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 7.8/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +160.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every BALL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across BALL's 12 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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