What Is Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. (CMTG) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $7.46, suggesting a +234.4% average upside from the current price of $2.23. While 3 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 2 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: Bayesian DCF targets $13.34 (+498.2%), versus ML-RIV at $0.09 (-95.8%). This +593.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About CMTG?
5 of 13 models are currently active for CMTG. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CMTG's intrinsic value at $13.34, implying +498.2% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does CMTG Rank in Real Estate?
Among 32 Real Estate stocks, CMTG ranks #17 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.7 reflects mixed fundamentals.
See all Most Undervalued Real Estate Stocks →
Within the Real Estate space, Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. competes in an environment where occupancy rate often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is CMTG a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CMTG a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
5 of 13 models are active for Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Claros Mortgage Trust, Inc. is rated at 5.7/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +593.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every CMTG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across CMTG's 5 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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