What Is Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Burlington Stores, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $154.61, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $327.47. With 10 out of 13 models flagging downside (-52.8% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, Markov DDM, places fair value at $438.01 (+33.8%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $20.01 (-93.9%). This +127.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Burlington Stores, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About BURL?
13 of 13 models are currently active for BURL. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates BURL's intrinsic value at $29.75, implying -90.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does BURL Rank in Retail-Department Stores?
Among 5 Retail-Department Stores stocks, BURL ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.3 places BURL in the top tier.
Within the Retail-Department Stores space, Burlington Stores, Inc. competes in an environment where e-commerce penetration rate often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is BURL a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BURL a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Burlington Stores, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Burlington Stores, Inc. is rated at 8.3/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +127.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every BURL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across BURL's 13 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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