Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID) Fair Value 2026

BRID · Packaged Foods ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (46/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID) trades at $6.13, versus a $4.53 median fair value across its 3 active models — 26.1% below the current price. QOC: 6.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 46/100 (WARN). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BRID
Price
$6.13
Quality Score
6.4/10
Value Trap Risk
46/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: Dynamic NAV suggests +19.2% upside with 54% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 46 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID) appears overvalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $4.53, 26.1% below the current price of $6.13. Estimates range from $0.16 to $7.31. BRID scores 6.4/10 on fundamental quality and 46/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. BRID’s -26.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Packaged Foods sector median is -16.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Bridgford Foods Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give BRID?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($6.13)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $4.53 -26.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.16 -97.3%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $7.31 +19.2%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is BRID's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $0.16 to $7.31

CirclFi's 3 active models place Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID) between $0.16 and $7.31 per share, a spread of 158% of the median. The median of that range — $4.53 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for BRID, against a current price of $6.13.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Dynamic NAV
$0.16median $4.53$7.31
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$0.16
Most bullish modelDynamic NAV$7.31
Model agreement1 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for BRID. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on BRID, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Bridgford Foods Corporation at its current price of $6.13. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $4.53 (-26.1% vs price), with 2 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, Dynamic NAV sees the most upside at +19.2% (fair value: $7.31), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -97.3% ($0.16). The spread between these extremes — +116.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About BRID?

3 of 13 models are currently active for BRID. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for BRID is $4.53 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BRID Rank in Packaged Foods?

Among 84 Packaged Foods stocks, BRID ranks #36 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Packaged Foods Stocks →

As a retail business, Bridgford Foods Corporation operates in a sector where brand equity index is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating BRID should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is BRID a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BRID a score of 46/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Bridgford Foods Corporation. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Bridgford Foods Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 6.4/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +116.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BRID valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BRID's 3 active models, average confidence is 59%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Bridgford Foods Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Packaged Foods Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Packaged Foods stocks with 13-model coverage

UTZUtz Brands, Inc.QOC 6.4CAGConagra Brands, Inc.QOC 6.4NAIINatural Alternatives International, Inc.QOC 6.5SJMThe J. M. Smucker CompanyQOC 6.4LSFLaird Superfood, Inc.QOC 6.9NCRANocera, Inc.QOC 6.3HRGNHarvard Apparatus Regenerative Technology Inc.QOC 5.3BSFCBlue Star Foods Corp.QOC 3.3FTLFFitLife Brands, Inc.QOC 8.2PPCPilgrim's Pride CorporationQOC 9.0JJSFJ&J Snack Foods Corp.QOC 8.9

Read investment analysis: UTZ · CAG · NAII · SJM · LSF · NCRA · HRGN · BSFC · FTLF · PPC · JJSF

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to BRID?

6 companies across all industries closest to BRID’s Quality of Company score of 6.4/10.

TDUPThredUp Inc.QOC 6.4DMRCDigimarc CorporationQOC 6.4BIOXBioceres Crop Solutions Corp.QOC 6.4VTRVentas, Inc.QOC 6.4TEMTempus AI, Inc.QOC 6.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: TDUP · DMRC · BIOX · VTR · TEM · NVDA

Where Does BRID Sit in CirclFi's Packaged Foods Rankings?

BRID is ranked against every other Packaged Foods stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Packaged Foods stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Bridgford Foods Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Bridgford Foods Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID)'s intrinsic value at $4.53 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.16 to $7.31. The Quality of Company score is 6.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BRID overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $6.13, 1 of 3 active models suggest BRID may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $4.53, 26.1% below the current price of $6.13 — a consensus view that BRID is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Bridgford Foods Corporation's business model in Packaged Foods.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.4 mean for BRID?

Bridgford Foods Corporation's QOC of 6.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BRID?

CirclFi analyzes BRID with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on BRID?

Of the 3 models currently active on BRID, Dynamic NAV is the most bullish at $7.31 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $0.16. CirclFi's published fair value for BRID is the median of that range, $4.53, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 158% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is BRID a value trap in 2026?

Bridgford Foods Corporation's Value Trap score is 46/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Bridgford Foods Corporation (BRID) has a median fair value of $4.53 — 26.1% below the current price of $6.13 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BRID/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this BRID valuation
  • Financial statements: Bridgford Foods Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000014177) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for BRID as of ; valuations recomputed .