Laird Superfood, Inc. (LSF) Fair Value 2026

LSF · Packaged Foods ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (26/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Laird Superfood, Inc. (LSF) trades at $3.92, versus a $6.32 median fair value across its 2 active models — 61.3% above the current price. QOC: 6.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 26/100 (LOW). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
LSF
Price
$3.92
Quality Score
6.9/10
Value Trap Risk
26/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +81.6% upside with 45% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (2/13) may reduce confidence

Is Laird Superfood, Inc. (LSF) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Laird Superfood, Inc. (LSF) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $6.32, 61.3% above the current price of $3.92. Estimates range from $5.53 to $7.12. LSF scores 6.9/10 on fundamental quality and 26/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. LSF’s +61.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Packaged Foods sector median is -16.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Laird Superfood, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give LSF?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.92)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $7.12 +81.6%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $5.53 +41.0%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Laird Superfood, Inc. (LSF) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Laird Superfood, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $6.32. At a current market price of $3.92, 2 of 2 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +61.3%. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +81.6% (fair value: $7.12), while FTNN is the most conservative at +41.0% ($5.53). The spread between these extremes — +40.6% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About LSF?

2 of 13 models are currently active for LSF. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for LSF is $6.32 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LSF Rank in Packaged Foods?

Among 84 Packaged Foods stocks, LSF ranks #33 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.9 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Packaged Foods Stocks →

Within the Packaged Foods space, Laird Superfood, Inc. competes in an environment where store traffic trends often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is LSF a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LSF a score of 26/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Laird Superfood, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Laird Superfood, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.9/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +40.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LSF valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LSF's 2 active models, average confidence is 26%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Laird Superfood, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Packaged Foods Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Packaged Foods stocks with 13-model coverage

KHCThe Kraft Heinz CompanyQOC 6.9NAIINatural Alternatives International, Inc.QOC 6.5JVACoffee Holding Co., Inc.QOC 7.0UTZUtz Brands, Inc.QOC 6.4NOMDNomad Foods LimitedQOC 7.2BRIDBridgford Foods CorporationQOC 6.4ENHAEnhanced Group Inc.QOC 5.4BDPTBioAdaptives, Inc.QOC 4.0FLOFlowers Foods, Inc.QOC 8.3PPCPilgrim's Pride CorporationQOC 9.0JJSFJ&J Snack Foods Corp.QOC 8.9

Read investment analysis: KHC · NAII · JVA · UTZ · NOMD · BRID · ENHA · BDPT · FLO · PPC · JJSF

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to LSF?

6 companies across all industries closest to LSF’s Quality of Company score of 6.9/10.

CIMChimera Investment CorporationQOC 6.9MNROMonro, Inc.QOC 6.9FHTXFoghorn Therapeutics Inc.QOC 6.9KMPRKemper CorporationQOC 6.9LCTXLineage Cell Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 6.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CIM · MNRO · FHTX · KMPR · LCTX · NVDA

Where Does LSF Sit in CirclFi's Packaged Foods Rankings?

LSF is ranked against every other Packaged Foods stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Packaged Foods stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Laird Superfood, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Laird Superfood, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Laird Superfood, Inc. (LSF)'s intrinsic value at $6.32 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $5.53 to $7.12. The Quality of Company score is 6.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LSF overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.92, 2 of 2 active models suggest LSF may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $6.32, 61.3% above the current price of $3.92 — a consensus view that LSF is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Laird Superfood, Inc.'s business model in Packaged Foods.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.9 mean for LSF?

Laird Superfood, Inc.'s QOC of 6.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LSF?

CirclFi analyzes LSF with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is LSF a value trap in 2026?

Laird Superfood, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 26/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Laird Superfood, Inc. (LSF) has a median fair value of $6.32 — 61.3% above the current price of $3.92 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/LSF/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this LSF valuation
  • Financial statements: Laird Superfood, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001650696) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for LSF as of ; valuations recomputed .