Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. (BFAM) Fair Value 2026

BFAM · Personal Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (11/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. (BFAM) trades at $74.81, versus a $53.68 median fair value across its 12 active models — 28.2% below the current price. QOC: 8.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 11/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $72.71.

Key Facts

Ticker
BFAM
Price
$74.81
Quality Score
8.3/10
Value Trap Risk
11/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +60.6% upside with 62% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. (BFAM) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. (BFAM) appears overvalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $53.68, 28.2% below the current price of $74.81. Estimates range from $5.71 to $151.25. BFAM scores 8.3/10 on fundamental quality and 11/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. BFAM’s -28.2% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give BFAM?

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($74.81)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $72.71 -2.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $5.71 -92.4%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $53.77 -28.1%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $120.15 +60.6%
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What Is BFAM's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 12 independent models · $5.71 to $151.25

CirclFi's 12 active models place Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. (BFAM) between $5.71 and $151.25 per share, a spread of 271% of the median. The median of that range — $53.68 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for BFAM, against a current price of $74.81.

Low · EPVHigh · Markov DDM
$5.71median $53.68$151.25
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$5.71
Most bullish modelMarkov DDM$151.25
Model agreement3 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for BFAM. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on BFAM, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. (BFAM) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $53.68. Trading at $74.81, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -28.2%), as 8 of 12 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: Markov DDM targets $151.25 (+102.2%), versus EPV at $5.71 (-92.4%). This +194.6% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About BFAM?

12 of 13 models are currently active for BFAM. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for BFAM is $53.68 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $72.71 on its own, implying -2.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BFAM Rank in Personal Services?

Among 15 Personal Services stocks, BFAM ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.3 places BFAM in the top tier.

Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is BFAM a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BFAM a score of 11/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. earns a quality score of 8.3/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +194.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BFAM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BFAM's 12 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Personal Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Personal Services stocks with 13-model coverage

HRBH&R Block, Inc.QOC 8.5SCIService Corporation InternationalQOC 7.9CSVCarriage Services, Inc.QOC 8.8MEDMedifast, Inc.QOC 6.7ROLRollins, Inc.QOC 8.9RGSRegis CorporationQOC 6.5DRORDror Ortho-Design, Inc.QOC 4.6FTDRFrontdoor, Inc.QOC 9.2

Read investment analysis: HRB · SCI · CSV · MED · ROL · RGS · DROR · FTDR

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to BFAM?

7 companies across all industries closest to BFAM’s Quality of Company score of 8.3/10.

CHRDChord Energy CorporationQOC 8.3PNRGPrimeEnergy Resources CorporationQOC 8.3RBKBRhinebeck Bancorp, Inc.QOC 8.3JLLJones Lang LaSalle IncorporatedQOC 8.3MCDMcDonald's CorporationQOC 8.3SAICScience Applications International CorporationQOC 8.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CHRD · PNRG · RBKB · JLL · MCD · SAIC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. (BFAM)'s intrinsic value at $53.68 — the median of 12 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $5.71 to $151.25. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $72.71 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BFAM overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $74.81, 3 of 12 active models suggest BFAM may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $53.68, 28.2% below the current price of $74.81 — a consensus view that BFAM is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc.'s business model in Personal Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.3 mean for BFAM?

Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc.'s QOC of 8.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BFAM?

CirclFi analyzes BFAM with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on BFAM?

Of the 12 models currently active on BFAM, Markov DDM is the most bullish at $151.25 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $5.71. CirclFi's published fair value for BFAM is the median of that range, $53.68, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 271% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is BFAM a value trap in 2026?

Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc.'s Value Trap score is 11/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc. (BFAM) has a median fair value of $53.68 — 28.2% below the current price of $74.81 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BFAM/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this BFAM valuation

Market data for BFAM as of ; valuations recomputed .

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