Regis Corporation (RGS) Fair Value 2026

RGS · Personal Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (32/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Regis Corporation (RGS) trades at $27.00, versus a $70.32 median fair value across its 8 active models — 160.5% above the current price. QOC: 6.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 32/100 (LOW). 8/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $63.48.

Key Facts

Ticker
RGS
Price
$27.00
Quality Score
6.5/10
Value Trap Risk
32/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +185.8% upside with 4% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (8/13) may reduce confidence

Is Regis Corporation (RGS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Regis Corporation (RGS) appears undervalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $70.32, 160.5% above the current price of $27.00. Estimates range from $6.94 to $149.02. RGS scores 6.5/10 on fundamental quality and 32/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. RGS’s +160.5% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Regis Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give RGS?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($27.00)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $63.48 +135.1%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $77.17 +185.8%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $53.86 +99.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $45.13 +67.2%
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What Is RGS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $6.94 to $149.02

CirclFi's 8 active models place Regis Corporation (RGS) between $6.94 and $149.02 per share, a spread of 202% of the median. The median of that range — $70.32 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for RGS, against a current price of $27.00.

Low · EROICHigh · FTNN
$6.94median $70.32$149.02
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$6.94
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$149.02
Model agreement7 bullish · 1 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for RGS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on RGS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Regis Corporation (RGS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Regis Corporation is potentially undervalued at its current price of $27.00. Based on our 13-model framework, Regis Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $70.32 — representing +160.5% implied upside — with 7 out of 8 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: FTNN targets $149.02 (+451.9%), versus EROIC at $6.94 (-74.3%). This +526.2% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About RGS?

8 of 13 models are currently active for RGS. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for RGS is $70.32 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $63.48 on its own, implying +135.1% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does RGS Rank in Personal Services?

Among 15 Personal Services stocks, RGS ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.5 indicates above-average quality.

Regis Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is RGS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RGS a score of 32/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Regis Corporation. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Regis Corporation scores 6.5 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +526.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every RGS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across RGS's 8 active models, average confidence is 40%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Regis Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Personal Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Personal Services stocks with 13-model coverage

MEDMedifast, Inc.QOC 6.7MRMMEDIROM Healthcare Technologies Inc.QOC 6.3SCIService Corporation InternationalQOC 7.9ANDGAndersen Group Inc.QOC 5.8BFAMBright Horizons Family Solutions Inc.QOC 8.3CLIKClick Holdings LimitedQOC 5.5EJHE-Home Household Service Holdings LimitedQOC 1.5HRBH&R Block, Inc.QOC 8.5FTDRFrontdoor, Inc.QOC 9.2ROLRollins, Inc.QOC 8.9

Read investment analysis: MED · MRM · SCI · ANDG · BFAM · CLIK · EJH · HRB · FTDR · ROL

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to RGS?

7 companies across all industries closest to RGS’s Quality of Company score of 6.5/10.

FSTJFirst America Resources CorporationQOC 6.5CRSPCRISPR Therapeutics AGQOC 6.5DYAIDyadic International, Inc.QOC 6.5IMCRImmunocore Holdings plcQOC 6.5GOGrocery Outlet Holding Corp.QOC 6.5RUMRUM Group Inc.QOC 6.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: FSTJ · CRSP · DYAI · IMCR · GO · RUM · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Regis Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Regis Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Regis Corporation (RGS)'s intrinsic value at $70.32 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $6.94 to $149.02. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $63.48 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is RGS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $27.00, 7 of 8 active models suggest RGS may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $70.32, 160.5% above the current price of $27.00 — a consensus view that RGS is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Regis Corporation's business model in Personal Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.5 mean for RGS?

Regis Corporation's QOC of 6.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on RGS?

CirclFi analyzes RGS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on RGS?

Of the 8 models currently active on RGS, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $149.02 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $6.94. CirclFi's published fair value for RGS is the median of that range, $70.32, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 202% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is RGS a value trap in 2026?

Regis Corporation's Value Trap score is 32/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Regis Corporation (RGS) has a median fair value of $70.32 — 160.5% above the current price of $27.00 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/RGS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this RGS valuation
  • Financial statements: Regis Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000716643) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for RGS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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