Carriage Services, Inc. (CSV) Fair Value 2026

CSV · Personal Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Carriage Services, Inc. (CSV) trades at $34.26, versus a $33.95 median fair value across its 11 active models — 0.9% below the current price. QOC: 8.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $31.45.

Key Facts

Ticker
CSV
Price
$34.26
Quality Score
8.8/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +14.7% upside with 23% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Carriage Services, Inc. (CSV) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Carriage Services, Inc. (CSV) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $33.95, essentially in line with the current price of $34.26. Estimates range from $10.28 to $84.85. CSV scores 8.8/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. CSV’s -0.9% gap is narrower than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Carriage Services, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CSV?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($34.26)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $31.45 -8.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $27.99 -18.3%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $39.31 +14.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $24.04 -29.8%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 7 additional models including Markov DDM, ML-RIV, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 11 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is CSV's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $10.28 to $84.85

CirclFi's 11 active models place Carriage Services, Inc. (CSV) between $10.28 and $84.85 per share, a spread of 220% of the median. The median of that range — $33.95 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CSV, against a current price of $34.26.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · Sentiment SOTP
$10.28median $33.95$84.85
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$10.28
Most bullish modelSentiment SOTP$84.85
Model agreement5 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CSV. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CSV, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Carriage Services, Inc. (CSV) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Carriage Services, Inc. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $34.26. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $33.95 (-0.9% median upside), masking a wide model spread between the 5 bullish models and 4 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: Sentiment SOTP targets $84.85 (+147.7%), versus Markov DDM at $10.28 (-70.0%). This +217.6% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About CSV?

11 of 13 models are currently active for CSV. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CSV is $33.95 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $31.45 on its own, implying -8.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CSV Rank in Personal Services?

Among 15 Personal Services stocks, CSV ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.8 places CSV in the top tier.

Carriage Services, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is CSV a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CSV a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Carriage Services, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Carriage Services, Inc. scores 8.8 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +217.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CSV valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CSV's 11 active models, average confidence is 55%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Carriage Services, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Personal Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Personal Services stocks with 13-model coverage

ROLRollins, Inc.QOC 8.9HRBH&R Block, Inc.QOC 8.5FTDRFrontdoor, Inc.QOC 9.2BFAMBright Horizons Family Solutions Inc.QOC 8.3EJHE-Home Household Service Holdings LimitedQOC 1.5SCIService Corporation InternationalQOC 7.9ANDGAndersen Group Inc.QOC 5.8VGESVanguard Green Investment LimitedQOC 4.1

Read investment analysis: ROL · HRB · FTDR · BFAM · EJH · SCI · ANDG · VGES

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CSV?

7 companies across all industries closest to CSV’s Quality of Company score of 8.8/10.

DVNDevon Energy CorporationQOC 8.8BBarrick Mining CorporationQOC 8.8SPGIS&P Global Inc.QOC 8.8TCOMTrip.com Group LimitedQOC 8.8CLMBClimb Global Solutions, Inc.QOC 8.8OIIOceaneering International, Inc.QOC 8.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: DVN · B · SPGI · TCOM · CLMB · OII · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Carriage Services, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Carriage Services, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Carriage Services, Inc. (CSV)'s intrinsic value at $33.95 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $10.28 to $84.85. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $31.45 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CSV overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $34.26, 5 of 11 active models suggest CSV may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $33.95, essentially in line with the current price of $34.26 — a consensus view that CSV is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Carriage Services, Inc.'s business model in Personal Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.8 mean for CSV?

Carriage Services, Inc.'s QOC of 8.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CSV?

CirclFi analyzes CSV with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CSV?

Of the 11 models currently active on CSV, Sentiment SOTP is the most bullish at $84.85 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $10.28. CirclFi's published fair value for CSV is the median of that range, $33.95, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 220% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CSV a value trap in 2026?

Carriage Services, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Carriage Services, Inc. (CSV) has a median fair value of $33.95 — essentially in line with the current price of $34.26 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CSV/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CSV valuation
  • Financial statements: Carriage Services, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001016281) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CSV as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 11 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on CSV.

Unlock All 11 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

7 models hidden for CSV Unlock All 11 — $39/mo