What Is Alignment Healthcare, Inc. (ALHC) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Alignment Healthcare, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $17.71, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $13.62. With a median implied return of +30.1% across a split 1–1 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +77.6% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +68.8% (fair value: $22.99), while FTNN is the most conservative at -8.7% ($12.43). The spread between these extremes — +77.6% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About ALHC?
2 of 13 models are currently active for ALHC. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ALHC is $17.71 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ALHC Rank in Healthcare Plans?
Among 13 Healthcare Plans stocks, ALHC ranks #10 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.2 indicates above-average quality.
The Healthcare Plans sector introduces analytical considerations specific to healthcare company businesses. For Alignment Healthcare, Inc., metrics like revenue per drug provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is ALHC a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ALHC a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
2 of 13 models are active for Alignment Healthcare, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Alignment Healthcare, Inc. scores 7.2 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +77.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ALHC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ALHC's 2 active models, average confidence is 30%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →