Upland Software, Inc. (UPLD) Fair Value 2026

UPLD · Services-Prepackaged Software ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 5 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (52/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Upland Software, Inc. (UPLD) trades at $5.55. QOC: 5.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 52/100 (WARN). 5/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
UPLD
Price
$5.55
Quality Score
5.9/10
Value Trap Risk
52/100
Models Active
5/13
Last Updated
Strength: 5 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Value Trap score of 52 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Upland Software, Inc. (UPLD) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Upland Software, Inc. (UPLD) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 5 independent fair value estimates is $5.78, within 4.1% of the current price of $5.55. Estimates range from $3.65 to $22.25. UPLD scores 5.9/10 on fundamental quality and 52/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Upland Software, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

5 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($5.55)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
First Chicago
High Conviction
$5.40 -2.7%
Sentiment SOTP
Medium Conviction
$3.65 -34.2%

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What Is Upland Software, Inc. (UPLD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Upland Software, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $8.86, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $5.55. While the average implied return is +59.6%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +335.2% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, FTNN, places fair value at $22.25 (+301.0%), while Sentiment SOTP — the most conservative — estimates $3.65 (-34.2%). This +335.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Upland Software, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About UPLD?

5 of 13 models are currently active for UPLD. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does UPLD Rank in Services-Prepackaged Software?

Among 205 Services-Prepackaged Software stocks, UPLD ranks #144 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.9 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Services-Prepackaged Software Stocks →

As a technology sector, Upland Software, Inc. operates in a sector where customer acquisition cost (CAC) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating UPLD should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is UPLD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns UPLD a score of 52/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

5 of 13 models are active for Upland Software, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Upland Software, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 5.9/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +335.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every UPLD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across UPLD's 5 active models, average confidence is 30%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Upland Software, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Prepackaged Software Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Services-Prepackaged Software stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CRM · CVLT · EGAN · MANH · MSFT

See all Services-Prepackaged Software stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Upland Software, Inc.

What is Upland Software, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Upland Software, Inc. (UPLD) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value. The Quality of Company score is 5.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is UPLD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $5.55, 3 of 5 active models suggest UPLD may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 5 fair value estimates is $5.78, within 4.1% of the current price of $5.55 — a consensus view that UPLD is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Upland Software, Inc.'s business model in Services-Prepackaged Software.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.9 mean for UPLD?

Upland Software, Inc.'s QOC of 5.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on UPLD?

CirclFi analyzes UPLD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 5 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is UPLD a value trap in 2026?

Upland Software, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 52/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 5-model valuation engine, Upland Software, Inc. (UPLD) has a median fair value of $5.78 — within 4.1% of the current price of $5.55 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/UPLD/ · Methodology

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