PAR Technology Corporation (PAR) Fair Value 2026

PAR · Calculating & Accounting Machines (No Electronic Computers) ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (35/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, PAR Technology Corporation (PAR) trades at $16.50, approximately 1917% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.82. QOC: 6.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 35/100 (LOW). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PAR
Price
$16.50
Quality Score
6.0/10
Value Trap Risk
35/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: 12 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($16.50)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
 $0.82 -95.0%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
 $13.72 -16.8%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $11.95 -27.6%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
 $9.87 -40.2%

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What Is PAR Technology Corporation (PAR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, PAR Technology Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $9.66, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $16.50. With 10 out of 12 models flagging downside (-41.5% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $20.79 (+26.0%), versus RCMH-DCF at $0.64 (-96.1%). This +122.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About PAR?

12 of 13 models are currently active for PAR. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates PAR's intrinsic value at $0.82, implying -95.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PAR Rank in Calculating & Accounting Machines (No Electronic Computers)?

Among 4 Calculating & Accounting Machines (No Electronic Computers) stocks, PAR ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.0 indicates above-average quality.

PAR Technology Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is PAR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PAR a score of 35/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for PAR Technology Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, PAR Technology Corporation is rated at 6.0/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +122.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PAR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PAR's 12 active models, average confidence is 26%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy PAR Technology Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Calculating & Accounting Machines (No Electronic Computers) Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

3 related Calculating & Accounting Machines (No Electronic Computers) stocks with 13-model coverage

NATLNCR Atleos CorporationQOC 8.4DBDDiebold Nixdorf IncorporatedQOC 7.0VYXNCR Voyix CorporationQOC 5.1

Read investment analysis: NATL · DBD · VYX

Frequently Asked Questions About PAR Technology Corporation

What is PAR Technology Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, PAR Technology Corporation (PAR) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.82. The Quality of Company score is 6.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PAR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $16.50, 2 of 12 active models suggest PAR may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits PAR Technology Corporation's business model in Calculating & Accounting Machines (No Electronic Computers).

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.0 mean for PAR?

PAR Technology Corporation's QOC of 6.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PAR?

CirclFi analyzes PAR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is PAR a value trap in 2026?

PAR Technology Corporation's Value Trap score is 35/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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