What Is Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Republic Services, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $158.30. Trading at $223.40, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -29.1%), as 8 of 12 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: ML-RIV targets $329.28 (+47.4%), versus EROIC at $37.55 (-83.2%). This +130.6% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About RSG?
12 of 13 models are currently active for RSG. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates RSG's intrinsic value at $202.09, implying -9.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does RSG Rank in Refuse Systems?
Among 9 Refuse Systems stocks, RSG ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.
Republic Services, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is RSG a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for RSG. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Republic Services, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Republic Services, Inc. scores 7.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +130.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every RSG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across RSG's 12 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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