What Is Waste Management, Inc. (WM) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Waste Management, Inc. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $236.75. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $176.35 (-25.5% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 1 bullish models and 6 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: ML-RIV targets $253.34 (+7.0%), versus EROIC at $34.41 (-85.5%). This +92.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About WM?
12 of 13 models are currently active for WM. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates WM's intrinsic value at $232.01, implying -2.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does WM Rank in Refuse Systems?
Among 9 Refuse Systems stocks, WM ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.1 indicates above-average quality.
Waste Management, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is WM a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns WM a score of 37/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Waste Management, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Waste Management, Inc. scores 7.1 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +92.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every WM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across WM's 12 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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