American Battery Technology Com (ABAT) Fair Value 2026

ABAT · Waste Management ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, American Battery Technology Com (ABAT) trades at $2.55, approximately 230% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.77. QOC: 4.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ABAT
Price
$2.55
Quality Score
4.9/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: 9 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.9/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is American Battery Technology Com (ABAT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, American Battery Technology Com (ABAT) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $0.61, 76.2% below the current price of $2.55. Estimates range from $0.14 to $2.47. ABAT scores 4.9/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy American Battery Technology Com Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.55)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
 $0.77 -69.7%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $0.75 -70.5%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
 $0.31 -87.9%
Dynamic NAV
High Conviction
 $0.61 -76.2%

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What Is American Battery Technology Com (ABAT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, American Battery Technology Com's intrinsic value is estimated at $0.86. Trading at its current price of $2.55, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 8 of 9 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -66.4%. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at -3.0% (fair value: $2.47), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -94.4% ($0.14). The spread between these extremes — +91.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About ABAT?

9 of 13 models are currently active for ABAT. All 9 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates ABAT's intrinsic value at $0.77, implying -69.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ABAT Rank in Waste Management?

Among 2 Waste Management stocks, ABAT ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.9 reflects mixed fundamentals.

American Battery Technology Com operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is ABAT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ABAT a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for American Battery Technology Com. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, American Battery Technology Com earns a quality score of 4.9/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +91.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ABAT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ABAT's 9 active models, average confidence is 29%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy American Battery Technology Com Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Waste Management Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

1 related Waste Management stocks with 13-model coverage

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Frequently Asked Questions About American Battery Technology Com

What is American Battery Technology Com's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, American Battery Technology Com (ABAT) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.77. The Quality of Company score is 4.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ABAT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.55, 0 of 9 active models suggest ABAT may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $0.61, 76.2% below the current price of $2.55 — a consensus view that ABAT is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits American Battery Technology Com's business model in Waste Management.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.9 mean for ABAT?

American Battery Technology Com's QOC of 4.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ABAT?

CirclFi analyzes ABAT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ABAT a value trap in 2026?

American Battery Technology Com's Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, American Battery Technology Com (ABAT) has a median fair value of $0.61 — 76.2% below the current price of $2.55 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ABAT/ · Methodology

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