Scully Royalty Ltd. (SRL) Fair Value 2026

SRL · Mineral Royalty Traders ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Scully Royalty Ltd. (SRL) trades at $5.41, approximately 233% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $1.62. QOC: 2.1/10. 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SRL
Price
$5.41
Quality Score
2.1/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +30.8% upside with 2% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.1/10 signals weak fundamentals

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($5.41)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$1.62 -70.0%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$4.99 -7.7%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$7.08 +30.8%
Markov DDM
Low Conviction
$2.22 -59.0%

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What Is Scully Royalty Ltd. (SRL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Scully Royalty Ltd.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $7.61. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $5.41 (implied upside of +40.6%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 7 of 11 bullish models. Notably, ML-RIV sees the most upside at +271.8% (fair value: $20.12), while Bayesian DCF is the most conservative at -70.0% ($1.62). The spread between these extremes — +341.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About SRL?

11 of 13 models are currently active for SRL. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SRL's intrinsic value at $1.62, implying -70.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SRL Rank in Mineral Royalty Traders?

Among 6 Mineral Royalty Traders stocks, SRL ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.1 signals below-average fundamentals.

Scully Royalty Ltd. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is SRL a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for SRL. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Scully Royalty Ltd.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Scully Royalty Ltd. is rated at 2.1/10. This weak-tier score exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +341.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SRL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SRL's 11 active models, average confidence is 3%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Scully Royalty Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

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Frequently Asked Questions About Scully Royalty Ltd.

What is Scully Royalty Ltd.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Scully Royalty Ltd. (SRL) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $1.62. The Quality of Company score is 2.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SRL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $5.41, 7 of 11 active models suggest SRL may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Scully Royalty Ltd.'s business model in Mineral Royalty Traders.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.1 mean for SRL?

Scully Royalty Ltd.'s QOC of 2.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SRL?

CirclFi analyzes SRL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SRL a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for SRL at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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