Scully Royalty Ltd. (SRL) Fair Value 2026

SRL · Capital Markets ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (44/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Scully Royalty Ltd. (SRL) trades at $5.84, versus a $5.19 median fair value across its 3 active models — 11.1% below the current price. QOC: 5.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 44/100 (WARN). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SRL
Price
$5.84
Quality Score
5.7/10
Value Trap Risk
44/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: FTNN Topology suggests +188.4% upside with 4% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 44 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Scully Royalty Ltd. (SRL) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Scully Royalty Ltd. (SRL) appears overvalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $5.19, 11.1% below the current price of $5.84. Estimates range from $2.79 to $16.84. SRL scores 5.7/10 on fundamental quality and 44/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. SRL’s -11.1% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Capital Markets sector median is -34.6%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Scully Royalty Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SRL?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($5.84)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
$2.79 -52.2%
Asset-Based · Medium Conviction
$5.19 -11.1%
Relative · Low Conviction
$16.84 +188.4%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is SRL's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $2.79 to $16.84

CirclFi's 3 active models place Scully Royalty Ltd. (SRL) between $2.79 and $16.84 per share, a spread of 271% of the median. The median of that range — $5.19 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for SRL, against a current price of $5.84.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · FTNN
$2.79median $5.19$16.84
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$2.79
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$16.84
Model agreement1 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for SRL. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on SRL, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Scully Royalty Ltd. (SRL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Scully Royalty Ltd. at its current price of $5.84. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $5.19 (-11.1% vs price), with 2 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, FTNN sees the most upside at +188.4% (fair value: $16.84), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -52.2% ($2.79). The spread between these extremes — +240.6% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About SRL?

3 of 13 models are currently active for SRL. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for SRL is $5.19 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SRL Rank in Capital Markets?

Among 103 Capital Markets stocks, SRL ranks #55 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.7 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Capital Markets Stocks →

As a financial institution, Scully Royalty Ltd. operates in a sector where CET1 capital ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating SRL should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is SRL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SRL a score of 44/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Scully Royalty Ltd.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Scully Royalty Ltd. is rated at 5.7/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +240.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SRL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SRL's 3 active models, average confidence is 22%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Scully Royalty Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Capital Markets Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Capital Markets stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: SLNH · HUT · CD · MEGL · MARA · WULF · PWCM · TW · GS · FUTU · HOOD

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SRL?

7 companies across all industries closest to SRL’s Quality of Company score of 5.7/10.

Read investment analysis: TRDA · MGX · ZONE · VEEA · LQMT · BKD · NVDA

Where Does SRL Sit in CirclFi's Capital Markets Rankings?

SRL is ranked against every other Capital Markets stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Capital Markets stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Scully Royalty Ltd.’s Valuation?

What is Scully Royalty Ltd.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Scully Royalty Ltd. (SRL)'s intrinsic value at $5.19 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $2.79 to $16.84. The Quality of Company score is 5.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SRL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $5.84, 1 of 3 active models suggest SRL may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $5.19, 11.1% below the current price of $5.84 — a consensus view that SRL is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Scully Royalty Ltd.'s business model in Capital Markets.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.7 mean for SRL?

Scully Royalty Ltd.'s QOC of 5.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SRL?

CirclFi analyzes SRL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on SRL?

Of the 3 models currently active on SRL, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $16.84 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $2.79. CirclFi's published fair value for SRL is the median of that range, $5.19, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 271% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is SRL a value trap in 2026?

Scully Royalty Ltd.'s Value Trap score is 44/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Scully Royalty Ltd. (SRL) has a median fair value of $5.19 — 11.1% below the current price of $5.84 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SRL/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SRL valuation
  • Financial statements: Scully Royalty Ltd. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000016859) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SRL as of ; valuations recomputed .