ChargePoint Holdings, Inc. (CHPT) Fair Value 2026

CHPT · Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (37/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, ChargePoint Holdings, Inc. (CHPT) trades at $6.08, approximately 48% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $11.59. QOC: 5.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 37/100 (LOW). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CHPT
Price
$6.08
Quality Score
5.7/10
Value Trap Risk
37/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +159.4% upside with 8% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($6.08)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $11.59 +90.6%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
 $13.32 +119.0%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $15.77 +159.4%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
 $14.43 +137.3%

Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 7 additional models including EROIC Spread, ML-RIV, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 11 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is ChargePoint Holdings, Inc. (CHPT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for ChargePoint Holdings, Inc.. Trading at $6.08 against an estimated intrinsic value of $15.80, 9 of 11 active models flag meaningful upside of +159.9% on average. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $30.35 (+399.2%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $2.99 (-50.8%). This +450.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about ChargePoint Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About CHPT?

11 of 13 models are currently active for CHPT. Of these, 9 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CHPT's intrinsic value at $11.59, implying +90.6% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CHPT Rank in Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies?

Among 40 Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies stocks, CHPT ranks #19 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.7 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies Stocks →

Within the Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies space, ChargePoint Holdings, Inc. competes in an environment where book-to-bill ratio often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is CHPT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CHPT a score of 37/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for ChargePoint Holdings, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, ChargePoint Holdings, Inc. is rated at 5.7/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +450.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CHPT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CHPT's 11 active models, average confidence is 28%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy ChargePoint Holdings, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies stocks with 13-model coverage

ENSEnerSysQOC 9.6ATKRAtkore Inc.QOC 8.8CBATCBAK Energy Technology LimitedQOC 8.5FLNCFluence Energy, Inc.QOC 8.2BYRNByrna Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.1MVSTMicrovast Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.0ULBIUltralife CorporationQOC 7.7ENREnergizer Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.7

Read investment analysis: ENS · ATKR · CBAT · FLNC · BYRN

See all Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About ChargePoint Holdings, Inc.

What is ChargePoint Holdings, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, ChargePoint Holdings, Inc. (CHPT) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $11.59. The Quality of Company score is 5.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CHPT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $6.08, 9 of 11 active models suggest CHPT may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits ChargePoint Holdings, Inc.'s business model in Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.7 mean for CHPT?

ChargePoint Holdings, Inc.'s QOC of 5.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CHPT?

CirclFi analyzes CHPT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CHPT a value trap in 2026?

ChargePoint Holdings, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 37/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 11 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on CHPT.

Unlock All 11 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access