OGE Energy Corp. (OGE) Fair Value 2026

OGE · Utilities - Regulated Electric ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, OGE Energy Corp. (OGE) trades at $45.74, versus a $28.26 median fair value across its 9 active models — 38.2% below the current price. QOC: 7.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
OGE
Price
$45.74
Quality Score
7.1/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: 9 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is OGE Energy Corp. (OGE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, OGE Energy Corp. (OGE) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $28.26, 38.2% below the current price of $45.74. Estimates range from $9.31 to $62.18. OGE scores 7.1/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. OGE’s -38.2% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Utilities - Regulated Electric sector median is -25.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy OGE Energy Corp. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give OGE?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($45.74)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $9.31 -79.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $28.26 -38.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $19.99 -56.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $19.87 -56.6%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 5 additional models including ML-RIV, PWERM, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 9 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is OGE's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $9.31 to $62.18

CirclFi's 9 active models place OGE Energy Corp. (OGE) between $9.31 and $62.18 per share, a spread of 187% of the median. The median of that range — $28.26 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for OGE, against a current price of $45.74.

Low · EPVHigh · Regime Cross
$9.31median $28.26$62.18
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$9.31
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$62.18
Model agreement2 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for OGE. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on OGE, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is OGE Energy Corp. (OGE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on OGE Energy Corp. at its current price of $45.74. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $28.26 (-38.2% vs price), with 5 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $62.18 (+36.0%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $9.31 (-79.6%). This +115.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about OGE Energy Corp.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About OGE?

9 of 13 models are currently active for OGE. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for OGE is $28.26 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does OGE Rank in Utilities - Regulated Electric?

Among 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, OGE ranks #24 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.1 indicates above-average quality.

As a utility sector, OGE Energy Corp. operates in a sector where renewable generation mix is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating OGE should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is OGE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns OGE a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for OGE Energy Corp.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, OGE Energy Corp. is rated at 7.1/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +115.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every OGE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across OGE's 9 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy OGE Energy Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Utilities - Regulated Electric Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks with 13-model coverage

ESEversource EnergyQOC 7.2PORPortland General Electric CompanyQOC 7.1PCGPG&E CorporationQOC 7.2AEEAmeren CorporationQOC 7.1FTSFortis Inc.QOC 7.2PNWPinnacle West Capital CorporationQOC 7.0SOThe Southern CompanyQOC 6.7CEPUCentral Puerto S.A.QOC 8.1EIXEdison InternationalQOC 7.4CIGCompanhia Energética de Minas Gerais - CEMIGQOC 8.5GNEGenie Energy Ltd.QOC 8.4

Read investment analysis: ES · POR · PCG · AEE · FTS · PNW · SO · CEPU · EIX · CIG · GNE

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to OGE?

7 companies across all industries closest to OGE’s Quality of Company score of 7.1/10.

DINDine Brands Global, Inc.QOC 7.1NMRNomura Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.1TLFTandy Leather Factory, Inc.QOC 7.1MSMorgan StanleyQOC 7.1OSCROscar Health, Inc.QOC 7.1MTHMeritage Homes CorporationQOC 7.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: DIN · NMR · TLF · MS · OSCR · MTH · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About OGE Energy Corp.’s Valuation?

What is OGE Energy Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts OGE Energy Corp. (OGE)'s intrinsic value at $28.26 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $9.31 to $62.18. The Quality of Company score is 7.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is OGE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $45.74, 3 of 9 active models suggest OGE may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $28.26, 38.2% below the current price of $45.74 — a consensus view that OGE is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits OGE Energy Corp.'s business model in Utilities - Regulated Electric.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.1 mean for OGE?

OGE Energy Corp.'s QOC of 7.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on OGE?

CirclFi analyzes OGE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on OGE?

Of the 9 models currently active on OGE, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $62.18 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $9.31. CirclFi's published fair value for OGE is the median of that range, $28.26, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 187% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is OGE a value trap in 2026?

OGE Energy Corp.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, OGE Energy Corp. (OGE) has a median fair value of $28.26 — 38.2% below the current price of $45.74 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/OGE/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this OGE valuation
  • Financial statements: OGE Energy Corp. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001021635) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for OGE as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 9 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on OGE.

Unlock All 9 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

5 models hidden for OGE Unlock All 9 — $39/mo