Schrödinger, Inc. (SDGR) Fair Value 2026

SDGR · Health Information Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (19/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Schrödinger, Inc. (SDGR) trades at $19.70, versus a $5.36 median fair value across its 3 active models — 72.8% below the current price. QOC: 7.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 19/100 (SAFE). 3/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $4.31.

Key Facts

Ticker
SDGR
Price
$19.70
Quality Score
7.1/10
Value Trap Risk
19/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: 3 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Schrödinger, Inc. (SDGR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Schrödinger, Inc. (SDGR) appears overvalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $5.36, 72.8% below the current price of $19.70. Estimates range from $4.31 to $9.47. SDGR scores 7.1/10 on fundamental quality and 19/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. SDGR’s -72.8% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Health Information Services sector median is +4.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Schrödinger, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SDGR?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($19.70)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $4.31 -78.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $5.36 -72.8%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $9.47 -51.9%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is SDGR's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $4.31 to $9.47

CirclFi's 3 active models place Schrödinger, Inc. (SDGR) between $4.31 and $9.47 per share, a spread of 96% of the median. The median of that range — $5.36 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for SDGR, against a current price of $19.70.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · FTNN
$4.31median $5.36$9.47
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$4.31
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$9.47
Model agreement0 bullish · 3 bearishmoderate

A band of this width is typical. The methods agree on direction but weight growth, reinvestment and risk differently, so treat the median as a centre of gravity rather than a precise target.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on SDGR, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Schrödinger, Inc. (SDGR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Schrödinger, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $5.36. Trading at its current price of $19.70, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 3 of 3 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -72.8%.

What Do the Models Say About SDGR?

3 of 13 models are currently active for SDGR. All 3 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for SDGR is $5.36 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $4.31 on its own, implying -78.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SDGR Rank in Health Information Services?

Among 55 Health Information Services stocks, SDGR ranks #20 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.1 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Health Information Services Stocks →

Schrödinger, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is SDGR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SDGR a score of 19/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Schrödinger, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Schrödinger, Inc. earns a quality score of 7.1/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

Models cluster within a tight range (+26.2% spread), increasing conviction. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SDGR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SDGR's 3 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Schrödinger, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Health Information Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Health Information Services stocks with 13-model coverage

BTSGBrightSpring Health Services, Inc.QOC 7.2NRCNRC HealthQOC 7.0TDOCTeladoc Health, Inc.QOC 7.3DHDefinitive Healthcare Corp.QOC 7.0SLPSimulations Plus, Inc.QOC 7.4TALKTalkspace IncQOC 7.0DRIODarioHealth Corp.QOC 6.0BEATHeartBeam, Inc.QOC 4.7VASOVaso CorporationQOC 8.5DOCSDoximity, Inc.QOC 9.6HQYHealthEquity, Inc.QOC 9.5

Read investment analysis: BTSG · NRC · TDOC · DH · SLP · TALK · DRIO · BEAT · VASO · DOCS · HQY

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SDGR?

7 companies across all industries closest to SDGR’s Quality of Company score of 7.1/10.

CNRCore Natural Resources, Inc.QOC 7.1SANBanco Santander, S.A.QOC 7.1BBUCBrookfield Business CorporationQOC 7.1SRPTSarepta Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 7.1IRWDIronwood Pharmaceuticals, Inc.QOC 7.1ABUSArbutus Biopharma CorporationQOC 7.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CNR · SAN · BBUC · SRPT · IRWD · ABUS · NVDA

Where Does SDGR Sit in CirclFi's Health Information Services Rankings?

SDGR is ranked against every other Health Information Services stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Health Information Services stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Schrödinger, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Schrödinger, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Schrödinger, Inc. (SDGR)'s intrinsic value at $5.36 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $4.31 to $9.47. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $4.31 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SDGR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $19.70, 0 of 3 active models suggest SDGR may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $5.36, 72.8% below the current price of $19.70 — a consensus view that SDGR is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Schrödinger, Inc.'s business model in Health Information Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.1 mean for SDGR?

Schrödinger, Inc.'s QOC of 7.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SDGR?

CirclFi analyzes SDGR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on SDGR?

Of the 3 models currently active on SDGR, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $9.47 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $4.31. CirclFi's published fair value for SDGR is the median of that range, $5.36, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 96% of the median — a normal spread for a company of this profile. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is SDGR a value trap in 2026?

Schrödinger, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 19/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Schrödinger, Inc. (SDGR) has a median fair value of $5.36 — 72.8% below the current price of $19.70 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SDGR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SDGR valuation
  • Financial statements: Schrödinger, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001490978) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SDGR as of ; valuations recomputed .