Eversource Energy (ES) Fair Value 2026

ES · Utilities - Regulated Electric ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Eversource Energy (ES) trades at $65.26, versus a $56.10 median fair value across its 10 active models — 14.0% below the current price. QOC: 7.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ES
Price
$65.26
Quality Score
7.2/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: 10 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Eversource Energy (ES) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Eversource Energy (ES) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $56.10, 14.0% below the current price of $65.26. Estimates range from $13.00 to $135.38. ES scores 7.2/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. ES’s -14.0% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Utilities - Regulated Electric sector median is -22.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Eversource Energy Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ES?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($65.26)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $24.03 -63.2%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $55.91 -14.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $36.79 -43.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $56.28 -13.8%
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What Is ES's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $13.00 to $135.38

CirclFi's 10 active models place Eversource Energy (ES) between $13.00 and $135.38 per share, a spread of 218% of the median. The median of that range — $56.10 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ES, against a current price of $65.26.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Regime Cross
$13.00median $56.10$135.38
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$13.00
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$135.38
Model agreement4 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ES. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ES, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Eversource Energy (ES) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Eversource Energy's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $56.10. Trading at $65.26, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -14.0%), as 6 of 10 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $135.38 (+107.4%), versus Dynamic NAV at $13.00 (-80.1%). This +187.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About ES?

10 of 13 models are currently active for ES. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ES is $56.10 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ES Rank in Utilities - Regulated Electric?

Among 39 Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, ES ranks #22 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.2 indicates above-average quality.

The Utilities - Regulated Electric sector introduces analytical considerations specific to power and energy company businesses. For Eversource Energy, metrics like regulatory lag provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is ES a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ES a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Eversource Energy. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Eversource Energy scores 7.2 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +187.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ES valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ES's 10 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Eversource Energy Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Utilities - Regulated Electric Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks with 13-model coverage

PCGPG&E CorporationQOC 7.2OGEOGE Energy Corp.QOC 7.1FTSFortis Inc.QOC 7.2PORPortland General Electric CompanyQOC 7.1EXCExelon CorporationQOC 7.3AEEAmeren CorporationQOC 7.1DDominion Energy, Inc.QOC 6.8GNEGenie Energy Ltd.QOC 8.4ETREntergy CorporationQOC 7.4CIGCompanhia Energética de Minas Gerais - CEMIGQOC 8.5

Read investment analysis: PCG · OGE · FTS · POR · EXC · AEE · D · GNE · ETR · CIG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ES?

7 companies across all industries closest to ES’s Quality of Company score of 7.2/10.

GOTUGaotu Techedu Inc.QOC 7.2DXCDXC Technology CompanyQOC 7.2STGWStagwell Inc.QOC 7.2ACRACRES Commercial Realty Corp.QOC 7.2AZTAAzenta, Inc.QOC 7.2MBUUMalibu Boats, Inc.QOC 7.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: GOTU · DXC · STGW · ACR · AZTA · MBUU · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Eversource Energy’s Valuation?

What is Eversource Energy's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Eversource Energy (ES)'s intrinsic value at $56.10 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $13.00 to $135.38. The Quality of Company score is 7.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ES overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $65.26, 4 of 10 active models suggest ES may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $56.10, 14.0% below the current price of $65.26 — a consensus view that ES is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Eversource Energy's business model in Utilities - Regulated Electric.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.2 mean for ES?

Eversource Energy's QOC of 7.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ES?

CirclFi analyzes ES with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ES?

Of the 10 models currently active on ES, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $135.38 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $13.00. CirclFi's published fair value for ES is the median of that range, $56.10, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 218% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ES a value trap in 2026?

Eversource Energy's Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Eversource Energy (ES) has a median fair value of $56.10 — 14.0% below the current price of $65.26 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ES/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ES valuation
  • Financial statements: Eversource Energy 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000072741) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ES as of ; valuations recomputed .

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