Materion Corporation (MTRN) Fair Value 2026

MTRN · Other Industrial Metals & Mining ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Materion Corporation (MTRN) trades at $246.15, versus a $39.42 median fair value across its 9 active models — 84.0% below the current price. QOC: 8.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
MTRN
Price
$246.15
Quality Score
8.9/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.9/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Materion Corporation (MTRN) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Materion Corporation (MTRN) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $39.42, 84.0% below the current price of $246.15. Estimates range from $9.77 to $232.50. MTRN scores 8.9/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. MTRN’s -84.0% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Other Industrial Metals & Mining sector median is -45.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Materion Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give MTRN?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($246.15)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $12.56 -94.9%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $50.02 -79.7%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $134.30 -45.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $39.42 -84.0%
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What Is MTRN's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $9.77 to $232.50

CirclFi's 9 active models place Materion Corporation (MTRN) between $9.77 and $232.50 per share, a spread of 565% of the median. The median of that range — $39.42 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for MTRN, against a current price of $246.15.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · Regime Cross
$9.77median $39.42$232.50
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$9.77
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$232.50
Model agreement0 bullish · 9 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for MTRN. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on MTRN, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Materion Corporation (MTRN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Materion Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $39.42, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $246.15. With 9 out of 9 models flagging downside (-84.0% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $232.50 (-5.5%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $9.77 (-96.0%). This +90.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Materion Corporation's intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About MTRN?

9 of 13 models are currently active for MTRN. All 9 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for MTRN is $39.42 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does MTRN Rank in Other Industrial Metals & Mining?

Among 65 Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, MTRN ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.9 places MTRN in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Other Industrial Metals & Mining Stocks →

As a industrial sector, Materion Corporation operates in a sector where book-to-bill ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating MTRN should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is MTRN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MTRN a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Materion Corporation. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Materion Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 8.9/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +90.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every MTRN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across MTRN's 9 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Materion Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Other Industrial Metals & Mining Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks with 13-model coverage

CRMLCritical Metals Corp.QOC 2.0BHPBHP Group LimitedQOC 8.3LARLithium Argentina AGQOC 2.1NEXANexa Resources S.A.QOC 7.2USASAmericas Gold and Silver CorporationQOC 2.4ALOYREalloys Inc.QOC 6.4SGMLSigma Lithium CorporationQOC 5.3TMQTrilogy Metals Inc.QOC 4.7REARare Earths Americas, Inc.QOC 3.5

Read investment analysis: CRML · BHP · LAR · NEXA · USAS · ALOY · SGML · TMQ · REA

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to MTRN?

7 companies across all industries closest to MTRN’s Quality of Company score of 8.9/10.

SEICSEI Investments CompanyQOC 8.9FLSFlowserve CorporationQOC 8.9CQPCheniere Energy Partners, L.P.QOC 8.9FSSFederal Signal CorporationQOC 8.9BYByline Bancorp, Inc.QOC 8.9WSFSWSFS Financial CorporationQOC 8.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: SEIC · FLS · CQP · FSS · BY · WSFS · NVDA

Where Does MTRN Sit in CirclFi's Other Industrial Metals & Mining Rankings?

MTRN is ranked against every other Other Industrial Metals & Mining stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Materion Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Materion Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Materion Corporation (MTRN)'s intrinsic value at $39.42 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $9.77 to $232.50. The Quality of Company score is 8.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is MTRN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $246.15, 0 of 9 active models suggest MTRN may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $39.42, 84.0% below the current price of $246.15 — a consensus view that MTRN is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Materion Corporation's business model in Other Industrial Metals & Mining.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.9 mean for MTRN?

Materion Corporation's QOC of 8.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on MTRN?

CirclFi analyzes MTRN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on MTRN?

Of the 9 models currently active on MTRN, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $232.50 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $9.77. CirclFi's published fair value for MTRN is the median of that range, $39.42, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 565% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is MTRN a value trap in 2026?

Materion Corporation's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Materion Corporation (MTRN) has a median fair value of $39.42 — 84.0% below the current price of $246.15 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/MTRN/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this MTRN valuation
  • Financial statements: Materion Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001104657) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for MTRN as of ; valuations recomputed .

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