Lithium Argentina AG (LAR) Fair Value 2026

LAR · Other Industrial Metals & Mining ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

DANGER (80/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Lithium Argentina AG (LAR) trades at $6.91. QOC: 2.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 80/100 (DANGER). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
LAR
Price
$6.91
Quality Score
2.1/10
Value Trap Risk
80/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +37.3% upside with 25% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 80 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give LAR?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($6.91)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $9.49 +37.3%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Lithium Argentina AG (LAR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Lithium Argentina AG's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $9.49. At a current market price of $6.91, 1 of 1 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +37.3%.

What Do the Models Say About LAR?

1 of 13 models are currently active for LAR. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LAR Rank in Other Industrial Metals & Mining?

Among 65 Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, LAR ranks #64 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.1 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Other Industrial Metals & Mining Stocks →

As a manufacturing company, Lithium Argentina AG operates in a sector where organic revenue growth is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating LAR should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is LAR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LAR a score of 80/100 (DANGER). This is a high-risk signal. Deteriorating fundamentals suggest the discount may be justified. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Lithium Argentina AG. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Lithium Argentina AG is rated at 2.1/10. This weak-tier score exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny. Notably, value trap risk is elevated.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LAR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LAR's 1 active models, average confidence is 25%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Lithium Argentina AG Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Other Industrial Metals & Mining Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks with 13-model coverage

USASAmericas Gold and Silver CorporationQOC 2.4CRMLCritical Metals Corp.QOC 2.0GSMFerroglobe PLCQOC 2.5MTRNMaterion CorporationQOC 8.9LZMLifezone Metals LimitedQOC 2.5BHPBHP Group LimitedQOC 8.3SKESkeena Resources LimitedQOC 5.3ELVRElevra Lithium LimitedQOC 4.8SSMRSunshine Silver Mining & Refining CompanyQOC 3.6

Read investment analysis: USAS · CRML · GSM · MTRN · LZM · BHP · SKE · ELVR · SSMR

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to LAR?

7 companies across all industries closest to LAR’s Quality of Company score of 2.1/10.

VLNValens Semiconductor Ltd.QOC 2.1ARQQArqit Quantum Inc.QOC 2.1PPBTPurple Biotech LtdQOC 2.1HUBCHUB Cyber Security Ltd.QOC 2.1ANLAdlai Nortye Group Ltd.QOC 2.1SPCBSuperCom Ltd.QOC 2.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: VLN · ARQQ · PPBT · HUBC · ANL · SPCB · NVDA

Where Does LAR Sit in CirclFi's Other Industrial Metals & Mining Rankings?

LAR is ranked against every other Other Industrial Metals & Mining stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Lithium Argentina AG’s Valuation?

What is Lithium Argentina AG's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Lithium Argentina AG (LAR). The Quality of Company score is 2.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LAR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $6.91, 1 of 1 active models suggest LAR may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Lithium Argentina AG's business model in Other Industrial Metals & Mining.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.1 mean for LAR?

Lithium Argentina AG's QOC of 2.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LAR?

CirclFi analyzes LAR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is LAR a value trap in 2026?

Lithium Argentina AG's Value Trap score is 80/100 (DANGER). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Lithium Argentina AG (LAR) a Quality of Company score of 2.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/LAR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this LAR valuation
  • Financial statements: Lithium Argentina AG 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001440972) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for LAR as of ; valuations recomputed .