Compass Minerals International, Inc. (CMP) Fair Value 2026

CMP · Other Industrial Metals & Mining ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (21/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Compass Minerals International, Inc. (CMP) trades at $24.62, versus a $14.50 median fair value across its 9 active models — 41.1% below the current price. QOC: 6.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 21/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CMP
Price
$24.62
Quality Score
6.1/10
Value Trap Risk
21/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +51.8% upside with 59% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Compass Minerals International, Inc. (CMP) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Compass Minerals International, Inc. (CMP) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $14.50, 41.1% below the current price of $24.62. Estimates range from $4.05 to $37.38. CMP scores 6.1/10 on fundamental quality and 21/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. CMP’s -41.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Other Industrial Metals & Mining sector median is -44.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Compass Minerals International, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CMP?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($24.62)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $14.50 -41.1%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $37.38 +51.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $7.29 -70.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $5.53 -77.6%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 5 additional models including PWERM, Regime Cross-Sectional, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 9 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is CMP's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $4.05 to $37.38

CirclFi's 9 active models place Compass Minerals International, Inc. (CMP) between $4.05 and $37.38 per share, a spread of 230% of the median. The median of that range — $14.50 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CMP, against a current price of $24.62.

Low · RCMH-DCFHigh · First Chicago
$4.05median $14.50$37.38
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRCMH-DCF$4.05
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$37.38
Model agreement2 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CMP. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CMP, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Compass Minerals International, Inc. (CMP) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Compass Minerals International, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $14.50. Trading at its current price of $24.62, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 7 of 9 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -41.1%. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $37.38 (+51.8%), versus RCMH-DCF at $4.05 (-83.6%). This +135.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About CMP?

9 of 13 models are currently active for CMP. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CMP is $14.50 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CMP Rank in Other Industrial Metals & Mining?

Among 65 Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, CMP ranks #7 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.1 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Other Industrial Metals & Mining Stocks →

Compass Minerals International, Inc.'s positioning within the Other Industrial Metals & Mining segment means that order backlog depth plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including reshoring and supply chain localization — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is CMP a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CMP a score of 21/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Compass Minerals International, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Compass Minerals International, Inc. scores 6.1 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +135.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CMP valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CMP's 9 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Compass Minerals International, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Other Industrial Metals & Mining Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks with 13-model coverage

UAMYUnited States Antimony CorporationQOC 6.3WRNWestern Copper and Gold CorporationQOC 6.1MPMP Materials Corp.QOC 6.4USARUSA Rare Earth, Inc.QOC 5.7ALOYREalloys Inc.QOC 6.4IPXIperionX LimitedQOC 5.6TIITitan Mining CorporationQOC 5.1SVBLSilver Bull Resources, Inc.QOC 4.4ACRLAtacama Resources International, Inc.QOC 2.9MTRNMaterion CorporationQOC 8.9BHPBHP Group LimitedQOC 8.3

Read investment analysis: UAMY · WRN · MP · USAR · ALOY · IPX · TII · SVBL · ACRL · MTRN · BHP

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CMP?

7 companies across all industries closest to CMP’s Quality of Company score of 6.1/10.

AESIAtlas Energy Solutions Inc.QOC 6.1NNENANO Nuclear Energy Inc.QOC 6.1STOKStoke Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 6.1BZAIBlaize Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.1GEGGreat Elm Group, Inc.QOC 6.1HNSTThe Honest Company, Inc.QOC 6.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: AESI · NNE · STOK · BZAI · GEG · HNST · NVDA

Where Does CMP Sit in CirclFi's Other Industrial Metals & Mining Rankings?

CMP is ranked against every other Other Industrial Metals & Mining stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Compass Minerals International, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Compass Minerals International, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Compass Minerals International, Inc. (CMP)'s intrinsic value at $14.50 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $4.05 to $37.38. The Quality of Company score is 6.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CMP overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $24.62, 2 of 9 active models suggest CMP may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $14.50, 41.1% below the current price of $24.62 — a consensus view that CMP is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Compass Minerals International, Inc.'s business model in Other Industrial Metals & Mining.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.1 mean for CMP?

Compass Minerals International, Inc.'s QOC of 6.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CMP?

CirclFi analyzes CMP with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CMP?

Of the 9 models currently active on CMP, First Chicago is the most bullish at $37.38 per share, and RCMH-DCF is the most bearish at $4.05. CirclFi's published fair value for CMP is the median of that range, $14.50, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 230% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CMP a value trap in 2026?

Compass Minerals International, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 21/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Compass Minerals International, Inc. (CMP) has a median fair value of $14.50 — 41.1% below the current price of $24.62 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CMP/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CMP valuation

Market data for CMP as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 9 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on CMP.

Unlock All 9 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

5 models hidden for CMP Unlock All 9 — $39/mo