REalloys Inc. (ALOY) Fair Value 2026

ALOY · Other Industrial Metals & Mining ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (29/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, REalloys Inc. (ALOY) trades at $10.40, versus a $0.70 median fair value across its 2 active models — 93.3% below the current price. QOC: 6.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 29/100 (LOW). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ALOY
Price
$10.40
Quality Score
6.4/10
Value Trap Risk
29/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: 2 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is REalloys Inc. (ALOY) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, REalloys Inc. (ALOY) appears overvalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $0.70, 93.3% below the current price of $10.40. Estimates range from $0.22 to $1.19. ALOY scores 6.4/10 on fundamental quality and 29/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. ALOY’s -93.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Other Industrial Metals & Mining sector median is -44.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy REalloys Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ALOY?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($10.40)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Scenario · High Conviction
 $1.19 -88.6%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $0.22 -97.9%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is REalloys Inc. (ALOY) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, REalloys Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $0.70, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $10.40. With 2 out of 2 models flagging downside (-93.3% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth.

What Do the Models Say About ALOY?

2 of 13 models are currently active for ALOY. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for ALOY is $0.70 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ALOY Rank in Other Industrial Metals & Mining?

Among 65 Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, ALOY ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Other Industrial Metals & Mining Stocks →

Within the Other Industrial Metals & Mining space, REalloys Inc. competes in an environment where working capital efficiency often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is ALOY a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ALOY a score of 29/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for REalloys Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, REalloys Inc. is rated at 6.4/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

Models cluster within a tight range (+9.3% spread), increasing conviction. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ALOY valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ALOY's 2 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy REalloys Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Other Industrial Metals & Mining Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks with 13-model coverage

NEXANexa Resources S.A.QOC 7.2MPMP Materials Corp.QOC 6.4BHPBHP Group LimitedQOC 8.3UAMYUnited States Antimony CorporationQOC 6.3MTRNMaterion CorporationQOC 8.9CMPCompass Minerals International, Inc.QOC 6.1RNGERange Impact, Inc.QOC 5.2FUSTFuse Group Holding Inc.QOC 4.5NRHINatural Resource Holdings, Inc.QOC 3.2

Read investment analysis: NEXA · MP · BHP · UAMY · MTRN · CMP · RNGE · FUST · NRHI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ALOY?

7 companies across all industries closest to ALOY’s Quality of Company score of 6.4/10.

WSCWillScot Holdings CorporationQOC 6.4WTIW&T Offshore, Inc.QOC 6.4ARAYAccuray IncorporatedQOC 6.4MSCStudio City International Holdings LimitedQOC 6.4BFLYButterfly Network, Inc.QOC 6.4FCELFuelCell Energy, Inc.QOC 6.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: WSC · WTI · ARAY · MSC · BFLY · FCEL · NVDA

Where Does ALOY Sit in CirclFi's Other Industrial Metals & Mining Rankings?

ALOY is ranked against every other Other Industrial Metals & Mining stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About REalloys Inc.’s Valuation?

What is REalloys Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts REalloys Inc. (ALOY)'s intrinsic value at $0.70 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.22 to $1.19. The Quality of Company score is 6.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ALOY overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $10.40, 0 of 2 active models suggest ALOY may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $0.70, 93.3% below the current price of $10.40 — a consensus view that ALOY is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits REalloys Inc.'s business model in Other Industrial Metals & Mining.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.4 mean for ALOY?

REalloys Inc.'s QOC of 6.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ALOY?

CirclFi analyzes ALOY with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ALOY a value trap in 2026?

REalloys Inc.'s Value Trap score is 29/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, REalloys Inc. (ALOY) has a median fair value of $0.70 — 93.3% below the current price of $10.40 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ALOY/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ALOY valuation
  • Financial statements: REalloys Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001567900) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ALOY as of ; valuations recomputed .